Norway 1. Division Β· Β·Matchday 25

Raufoss vs Moss

Garuda Lions Prediction: Moss

1 – 2 Predicted score Β· 8% model probability

NAMMO Stadion, Raufoss

Raufoss 27%
Draw 23%
Moss 50%

Confidence: Low  Β·  blended with market odds

Chance Moss wins
50%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
97%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
73%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 2
8% of simulated outcomes

Raufoss vs Moss overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Raufoss vs Moss

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRaufossDrawMoss
Model33.0%22.8%44.2%
Market24.8%23.6%51.6%
Final26.9%23.4%49.8%
Edge+8.2%-0.8%-7.4%

Confidence: Low

Best available price on the pick: 1.83, recorded β€” the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.

Raufoss vs Moss match preview

In the upcoming match between Raufoss and Moss, the probabilities indicate a competitive encounter, with Moss favored at 46% to win, while Raufoss has a 32% chance. The most likely scoreline is predicted to be 1-2 in favor of Moss, occurring with an 8% probability. Both teams have shown a propensity for goals, with a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 74% likelihood that both teams will score.

Recent form shows Raufoss struggling with three losses in their last six matches, while Moss has had a mixed performance with two wins and two draws in their last six outings. In their last three head-to-head meetings, Raufoss has secured two wins and one draw against Moss, who has yet to claim a victory in this matchup. The confidence grade for this prediction stands at C, reflecting the model's assessment.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Raufoss ↓ / Moss β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 1 9% 8% 6% 5% 2 7% 7% 5% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 90%
3+ goals 73%
No goals 3%

Raufoss and Moss expected goals

Raufoss 1.75
Moss 2.03

Total expected goals: 3.79

Raufoss and Moss attack and defence ratings

Raufoss

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 1.46 +46%

Moss

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 1.12 +12%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 25 fixtures

Norway 1. Division

Before and after this match

Raufoss vs Moss markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Moss 49.8% 2.01 -7.4% 1.83
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 72.9% 1.37 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 72.6% 1.38 β€” β€”
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.6% 1.30 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 55.8% 1.79 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Raufoss26.9%
Draw23.4%
Moss49.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.572.9%
Under 2.527.1%
Both teams to scoreYes72.6%
No27.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)50.2%
12 (either side)76.6%
X2 (draw or away)73.1%
Handicap -1Moss win25.5%
Push (exactly one goal)18.7%
Loss55.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-18.9%
1-28.2%
2-27.2%

Raufoss vs Moss stats

Raufoss and Moss recent form

newest first
Raufoss LLWWLL
Moss LDWLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Raufoss and Moss season so far

league record

Raufoss record

  • They have won 6 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 22 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Moss record

  • They have won 7 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Raufoss vs Moss head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

2Raufoss wins 1Draws 0Moss wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-26MossRaufossNorway 1. Division1-2
2025-11-08MossRaufossNorway 1. Division1-1
2025-04-01RaufossMossNorway 1. Division3-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Raufoss vs Moss odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 24.8%, draw 23.6%, away 51.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.71 3.80 1.83
Bet365 3.50 3.90 1.73
BetVictor 3.80 4.00 1.80
Betano 3.80 3.90 1.78
Betfair 3.60 4.00 1.73
Dafabet 3.65 4.00 1.80
Marathonbet 3.70 3.80 1.81
Pinnacle 3.91 3.99 1.78
SBO 3.42 3.55 1.74
William Hill 3.70 3.60 1.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.70 β–² +0.40
X 3.90 β–² +0.16
2 1.78 β–Ό -0.16

8 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 2 Moss Predicted score 1 – 2 Low Bet Now
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