Norway 1. Division · Full time ·Matchday 25

Raufoss vs Moss

1 – 2 Full time

34′L. Overgaard
46′N. AlexanderssonN. Semmen
49′O. Jebali
63′Y. AgyemanM. Aanesland
65′E. Asvestad
76′J. MusbaudeenM. Njie
81′L. OvergaardM. Njie
89′N. Semmen

NAMMO Stadion, RaufossReferee: M. Tennoy

Raufoss 27%
Draw 23%
Moss 50%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Raufoss vs Moss overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Raufoss vs Moss

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRaufossDrawMoss
Model33.0%22.8%44.2%
Market25.0%23.4%51.6%
Final27.0%23.3%49.7%
Edge+2.0%-0.2%-1.8%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Raufoss ↓ / Moss → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 1 9% 8% 6% 5% 2 7% 7% 5% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 90%
3+ goals 73%
No goals 3%

Raufoss and Moss expected goals

Raufoss 1.75
Moss 2.03

Total expected goals: 3.79

Raufoss and Moss attack and defence ratings

Raufoss

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 1.46 +46%

Moss

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 1.12 +12%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Raufoss vs Moss: result vs prediction

Raufoss 1 – 2 Moss

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 25 fixtures

Norway 1. Division

Before and after this match

Raufoss vs Moss markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Moss 49.7% 2.01 -1.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 72.9% 1.37 — —
Both teams to score Yes 72.6% 1.38 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.7% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 55.8% 1.79 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Raufoss27.0%
Draw23.3%
Moss49.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.572.9%
Under 2.527.1%
Both teams to scoreYes72.6%
No27.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)50.3%
12 (either side)76.7%
X2 (draw or away)73.0%
Handicap -1Moss win25.5%
Push (exactly one goal)18.7%
Loss55.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-18.9%
1-28.2%
2-27.2%

Raufoss vs Moss stats

Raufoss and Moss recent form

newest first
Raufoss LLWWLL
Moss LDWLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Raufoss and Moss going into this match

league record before kick-off

Raufoss record

  • They have won 6 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 23 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Moss record

  • They have won 7 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 24 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Raufoss vs Moss head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

3Raufoss wins 3Draws 3Moss wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-26MossRaufossNorway 1. Division1-2
2026-02-27RaufossMossFriendlies Clubs3-3
2025-11-08MossRaufossNorway 1. Division1-1
2025-04-01RaufossMossNorway 1. Division3-2
2025-03-08RaufossMossFriendlies Clubs1-0
2024-11-02MossRaufoss1. Division3-2
2024-05-16RaufossMoss1. Division0-2
2023-09-03RaufossMoss1. Division1-1
2023-05-29MossRaufoss1. Division1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Raufoss vs Moss odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 25.0%, draw 23.4%, away 51.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.71 3.80 1.83
Bet365 3.80 4.10 1.75
BetVictor 3.75 4.00 1.80
Betano 3.80 3.90 1.78
Betfair 3.60 4.00 1.73
Dafabet 3.70 4.00 1.81
Marathonbet 3.70 3.80 1.81
Pinnacle 4.04 4.11 1.79
SBO 3.43 3.71 1.76
William Hill 3.50 3.75 1.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.71 ▲ +0.41
X 3.95 ▲ +0.21
2 1.79 ▼ -0.15

11 snapshots recorded, from .