Moss
vs
Kongsvinger
0 – 2 Full time
| 23′ | V. Fors | ||
| 24′ | L. Langrekken | ||
| 53′ | A. ChamintaR. Christiansen | ||
| 56′ | R. Christiansen | ||
| 59′ | F. Christensen | ||
| 61′ | L. Langrekken | ||
| 67′ | M. FloresP. Udnaes | ||
| 68′ | M. GjerstromE. Nielsen | ||
| 81′ | L. OvergaardM. Njie | ||
| 87′ | L. LangrekkenD. Lysgard | ||
| 87′ | R. ChristiansenL. Hovland | ||
| 88′ | J. MusbaudeenN. Alexandersson | ||
| 88′ | N. SemmenT. Usman | ||
| 90′ | P. AndersenE. Chidi |
Moss vs Kongsvinger overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Moss vs Kongsvinger
| Probability | Moss | Draw | Kongsvinger |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 14.0% | 13.0% | 73.0% |
| Market | 21.4% | 20.0% | 58.6% |
| Final | 19.5% | 18.3% | 62.2% |
| Edge | -7.4% | -7.0% | +14.4% |
Why Kongsvinger
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.79 vs 1.81.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Kongsvinger below the model: +14.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Moss and Kongsvinger expected goals
Total expected goals: 5.60
Moss and Kongsvinger attack and defence ratings
Moss
Kongsvinger
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Moss vs Kongsvinger: result vs prediction
Moss 0 – 2 Kongsvinger
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 24 fixtures
Before and after this match
Moss vs Kongsvinger markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kongsvinger | 62.2% | 1.61 | +14.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 91.8% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 82.1% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 81.7% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Kongsvinger win | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Moss | 19.5% |
| Draw | 18.3% | |
| Kongsvinger | 62.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 91.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 8.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 82.1% |
| No | 17.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 37.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 80.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kongsvinger win | 57.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.0% | |
| Loss | 27.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-3 | 6.1% |
| 1-4 | 5.8% | |
| 2-3 | 5.5% |
Moss vs Kongsvinger stats
Moss and Kongsvinger recent form
| Moss |
DWLWLD |
| Kongsvinger |
WWDWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Moss and Kongsvinger going into this match
Moss record
- They have won 7 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kongsvinger record
- They have won 15 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 3.0 goals per match.
- They average 3.8 goals per game at home against 2.1 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
Moss vs Kongsvinger head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Kongsvinger | Moss | Norway 1. Division | 2-1 |
| 2025-10-18 | Moss | Kongsvinger | Norway 1. Division | 2-4 |
| 2025-04-21 | Kongsvinger | Moss | Norway 1. Division | 6-0 |
| 2024-12-01 | Moss | Kongsvinger | 1. Division | 3-2 |
| 2024-09-16 | Kongsvinger | Moss | 1. Division | 0-0 |
| 2024-07-20 | Moss | Kongsvinger | 1. Division | 1-0 |
| 2023-11-12 | Kongsvinger | Moss | 1. Division | 1-2 |
| 2023-06-25 | Moss | Kongsvinger | 1. Division | 0-1 |
| 2023-03-18 | Kongsvinger | Moss | Friendlies Clubs | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Moss vs Kongsvinger odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 21.4%, draw 20.0%, away 58.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.30 | 4.60 | 1.59 |
| Bet365 | 4.33 | 4.75 | 1.57 |
| BetVictor | 4.33 | 4.75 | 1.57 |
| Betano | 4.25 | 4.60 | 1.60 |
| Betfair | 4.10 | 4.60 | 1.55 |
| Marathonbet | 4.33 | 4.60 | 1.57 |
| Pinnacle | 4.41 | 4.90 | 1.61 |
| SBO | 3.88 | 4.25 | 1.53 |
| William Hill | 4.00 | 4.33 | 1.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
20 snapshots recorded, from .