Norway 1. Division
·
Full time
·Matchday 25
Kongsvinger
vs
Ranheim
6 – 2 Full time
| 1′ | M. Flores | ||
| 9′ | M. Mbow | ||
| 12′ | K. Rolstad | ||
| 13′ | G. AsenS. Sjovold | ||
| 15′ | T. B. Haukeberg | ||
| 43′ | M. Sylva | ||
| 45′ | M. Flores | ||
| 53′ | T. B. Haukeberg | ||
| 53′ | T. B. Haukeberg | ||
| 55′ | R. Christiansen | ||
| 57′ | M. SylvaC. Aasbak | ||
| 57′ | S. Haugland | ||
| 59′ | E. Nielsen | ||
| 64′ | M. Flores | ||
| 66′ | M. Johnsen | ||
| 67′ | R. Christiansen | ||
| 68′ | E. NielsenD. Lysgard | ||
| 68′ | R. ChristiansenA. Chaminta | ||
| 70′ | S. HauglandA. Fossli | ||
| 70′ | T. KongerudF. Nyenetue | ||
| 73′ | A. Chaminta | ||
| 76′ | F. ChristensenV. Lysell | ||
| 77′ | M. MbowS. Elmi | ||
| 86′ | G. JohnsonE. Olawore |
Kongsvinger
63%
Draw
17%
Ranheim
20%
Kongsvinger vs Ranheim overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kongsvinger vs Ranheim
| Probability | Kongsvinger | Draw | Ranheim |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 69.1% | 13.5% | 17.5% |
| Market | 60.7% | 18.8% | 20.5% |
| Final | 62.8% | 17.4% | 19.8% |
| Edge | +2.1% | -1.3% | -0.8% |
Why Kongsvinger
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.93 vs 2.17.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices Kongsvinger below our published probability: +2.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
100%
2+ goals
99%
3+ goals
94%
No goals
0%
Kongsvinger and Ranheim expected goals
Kongsvinger
3.93
Ranheim
2.17
Total expected goals: 6.10
Kongsvinger and Ranheim attack and defence ratings
Kongsvinger
Attack
2.00 +100%
Defence
0.90 -10%
Ranheim
Attack
1.49 +49%
Defence
1.05 +5%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Kongsvinger vs Ranheim: result vs prediction
Kongsvinger 6 – 2 Ranheim
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 25 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kongsvinger vs Ranheim markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kongsvinger | 62.8% | 1.59 | +2.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 94.2% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 87.1% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 82.6% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Kongsvinger win | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kongsvinger | 62.8% |
| Draw | 17.4% | |
| Ranheim | 19.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 94.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 5.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 87.1% |
| No | 12.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 37.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kongsvinger win | 53.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.8% | |
| Loss | 30.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 3-2 | 5.4% |
| 4-2 | 5.3% | |
| 3-1 | 4.9% |
Kongsvinger vs Ranheim stats
Kongsvinger and Ranheim recent form
| Kongsvinger |
WWWDWD |
| Ranheim |
WWWDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kongsvinger and Ranheim going into this match
Kongsvinger record
- They have won 16 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 2.9 goals per match.
- They average 3.8 goals per game at home against 2.1 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
Ranheim record
- They have won 9 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kongsvinger vs Ranheim head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
5Kongsvinger wins
4Draws
1Ranheim wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-08 | Ranheim | Kongsvinger | Norway 1. Division | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-30 | Kongsvinger | Ranheim | Norway 1. Division | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-03 | Ranheim | Kongsvinger | Norway 1. Division | 2-1 |
| 2024-08-03 | Ranheim | Kongsvinger | 1. Division | 2-2 |
| 2024-04-01 | Kongsvinger | Ranheim | 1. Division | 2-1 |
| 2023-08-09 | Ranheim | Kongsvinger | 1. Division | 1-4 |
| 2023-06-11 | Kongsvinger | Ranheim | 1. Division | 3-0 |
| 2022-10-10 | Ranheim | Kongsvinger | 1. Division | 0-2 |
| 2022-07-04 | Kongsvinger | Ranheim | 1. Division | 2-2 |
| 2020-10-24 | Kongsvinger | Ranheim | 1. Division | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Kongsvinger vs Ranheim odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 60.7%, draw 18.8%, away 20.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.55 | 4.90 | 4.36 |
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 5.00 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 5.00 | 4.75 |
| Betano | 1.55 | 4.80 | 4.45 |
| Betfair | 1.47 | 4.75 | 4.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.53 | 5.20 | 4.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.53 | 4.90 | 4.40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.53 | 5.32 | 4.78 |
| SBO | 1.49 | 4.62 | 4.18 |
| William Hill | 1.50 | 4.60 | 4.33 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.52 ▼ -0.08
X
4.90 ▲ +0.20
2
4.47 ▲ +0.38
11 snapshots recorded, from .