Kongsvinger
vs
Ranheim
Garuda Lions Prediction: Kongsvinger
3 – 2 Predicted score · 5% model probability
Kongsvinger vs Ranheim overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kongsvinger vs Ranheim
| Probability | Kongsvinger | Draw | Ranheim |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 69.1% | 13.5% | 17.5% |
| Market | 60.0% | 18.7% | 21.2% |
| Final | 62.3% | 17.4% | 20.3% |
| Edge | +9.0% | -5.3% | -3.8% |
Why Kongsvinger
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.93 vs 2.17.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices Kongsvinger below the model: +9.0 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 1.55, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Kongsvinger vs Ranheim match preview
Kongsvinger faces Ranheim in the Norway 1. Division on October 11, 2026. Kongsvinger holds a strong probability of winning at 61%, while Ranheim stands at 21%, with an 18% chance of a draw. The expected goals for Kongsvinger are 3.93, compared to Ranheim's 2.17, indicating a high-scoring match is anticipated. The most likely scoreline is 3-2, with a 5% probability.
Both teams have shown solid recent form, with Kongsvinger recording three wins, two draws, and one loss in their last six matches, while Ranheim has three wins, two draws, and one loss. Historically, in their last three encounters, Kongsvinger has not secured a win, with two draws and one loss to Ranheim. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is at 94%, and both teams scoring is at 87%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kongsvinger and Ranheim expected goals
Total expected goals: 6.10
Kongsvinger and Ranheim attack and defence ratings
Kongsvinger
Ranheim
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 25 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kongsvinger vs Ranheim markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kongsvinger | 62.3% | 1.61 | +9.0% | 1.55 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 94.2% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 87.1% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 82.6% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Kongsvinger win | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kongsvinger | 62.3% |
| Draw | 17.4% | |
| Ranheim | 20.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 94.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 5.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 87.1% |
| No | 12.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 37.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kongsvinger win | 53.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.8% | |
| Loss | 30.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 3-2 | 5.4% |
| 4-2 | 5.3% | |
| 3-1 | 4.9% |
Kongsvinger vs Ranheim stats
Kongsvinger and Ranheim recent form
| Kongsvinger |
WWWDWD |
| Ranheim |
WWWDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kongsvinger and Ranheim season so far
Kongsvinger record
- They have won 15 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 3.0 goals per match.
- They average 3.8 goals per game at home against 2.1 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
Ranheim record
- They have won 8 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kongsvinger vs Ranheim head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-08 | Ranheim | Kongsvinger | Norway 1. Division | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-30 | Kongsvinger | Ranheim | Norway 1. Division | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-03 | Ranheim | Kongsvinger | Norway 1. Division | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Kongsvinger vs Ranheim odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 60.0%, draw 18.7%, away 21.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.55 | 4.90 | 4.36 |
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 4.50 | 4.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.53 | 5.00 | 4.50 |
| Betano | 1.55 | 4.90 | 4.30 |
| Betfair | 1.47 | 4.75 | 4.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.54 | 5.00 | 4.30 |
| Marathonbet | 1.53 | 4.90 | 4.40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.52 | 5.10 | 4.61 |
| SBO | 1.50 | 4.46 | 3.92 |
| William Hill | 1.50 | 4.60 | 4.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .