Sandnes ULF
vs
Haugesund
Garuda Lions Prediction: Haugesund
1 – 2 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Sandnes ULF vs Haugesund overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sandnes ULF vs Haugesund
| Probability | Sandnes ULF | Draw | Haugesund |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 15.6% | 16.6% | 67.8% |
| Market | 20.4% | 20.9% | 58.6% |
| Final | 19.2% | 19.8% | 60.9% |
| Edge | -4.8% | -4.3% | +9.2% |
Why Haugesund
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.96 vs 1.44.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Haugesund below the model: +9.2 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 1.58, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Sandnes ULF vs Haugesund match preview
In the upcoming match between Sandnes ULF and Haugesund, the model indicates a significant advantage for Haugesund, with a 68% probability of winning compared to Sandnes ULF's 16%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, occurring with an 8% probability. Both teams are expected to contribute to a high-scoring game, with an 81% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 73% likelihood that both teams will score.
Recent form highlights a stark contrast, as Haugesund is on a six-match winning streak, while Sandnes ULF has recorded two wins in their last five matches. The expected goals suggest Haugesund will dominate offensively, with 2.95 expected goals compared to Sandnes ULF's 1.45. In their only recent encounter, Haugesund emerged victorious, further underscoring their current form and dominance.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sandnes ULF and Haugesund expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.40
Sandnes ULF and Haugesund attack and defence ratings
Sandnes ULF
Haugesund
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 25 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sandnes ULF vs Haugesund markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Haugesund | 60.9% | 1.64 | +9.2% | 1.58 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 81.5% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Haugesund win | 49.0% | 2.04 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sandnes ULF | 19.2% |
| Draw | 19.8% | |
| Haugesund | 60.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 81.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 18.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.0% |
| No | 27.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 39.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 80.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Haugesund win | 49.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.8% | |
| Loss | 32.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 7.7% |
| 1-3 | 7.6% | |
| 1-1 | 5.8% |
Sandnes ULF vs Haugesund stats
Sandnes ULF and Haugesund recent form
| Sandnes ULF |
DLWLDW |
| Haugesund |
WWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sandnes ULF and Haugesund season so far
Sandnes ULF record
- They have won 7 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Haugesund record
- They have won 17 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 3.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
Sandnes ULF vs Haugesund head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | Haugesund | Sandnes ULF | Norway 1. Division | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sandnes ULF vs Haugesund odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 20.4%, draw 20.9%, away 58.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.51 | 4.55 | 1.57 |
| Bet365 | 4.50 | 4.33 | 1.55 |
| BetVictor | 4.60 | 4.50 | 1.57 |
| Betano | 4.60 | 4.35 | 1.57 |
| Betfair | 4.40 | 4.40 | 1.55 |
| Dafabet | 4.50 | 4.40 | 1.58 |
| Marathonbet | 4.55 | 4.55 | 1.55 |
| Pinnacle | 4.61 | 4.63 | 1.57 |
| SBO | 4.11 | 4.05 | 1.52 |
| William Hill | 4.20 | 4.00 | 1.57 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .