Norway 1. Division · Full time ·Matchday 25

Stabaek vs Strommen

2 – 2 Full time

27′E. Lereng
33′G. Grobelnik
45′A. Sanyang
46′G. GrobelnikM. Waehler
62′G. VettiM. Dahlby
70′A. AamodtS. Olderheim
70′G. RappA. Hoven
71′M. MoldskredK. Somesi
77′W. Wendt
81′M. Waehler
83′A. NordE. Rogne
83′M. PaulsenT. Ogboji
88′M. BalatoniA. Solberg
90′M. Dahlby

Nadderud Stadion, BekkestuaReferee: H. Nervik

Stabaek 65%
Draw 18%
Strommen 17%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Stabaek vs Strommen overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Stabaek vs Strommen

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityStabaekDrawStrommen
Model60.6%18.5%20.9%
Market66.6%18.1%15.4%
Final65.1%18.2%16.8%
Edge-1.5%+0.1%+1.4%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Stabaek

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.76 vs 1.64.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Stabaek ↓ / Strommen → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 2 8% 6% 3 7% 6% 4+ 6% 9% 8%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 94%
3+ goals 81%
No goals 2%

Stabaek and Strommen expected goals

Stabaek 2.76
Strommen 1.64

Total expected goals: 4.40

Stabaek and Strommen attack and defence ratings

Stabaek

Attack 1.08 +8%
Defence 0.91 -9%

Strommen

Attack 1.12 +12%
Defence 1.36 +36%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Stabaek vs Strommen: result vs prediction

Stabaek 2 – 2 Strommen

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 25 fixtures

Norway 1. Division

Before and after this match

Stabaek vs Strommen markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Stabaek 65.1% 1.54 -1.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 81.5% 1.23 — —
Both teams to score Yes 76.1% 1.31 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 83.2% 1.20 — —
Handicap -1 Stabaek win 41.6% 2.41 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Stabaek65.1%
Draw18.2%
Strommen16.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.581.5%
Under 2.518.5%
Both teams to scoreYes76.1%
No23.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)83.2%
12 (either side)81.8%
X2 (draw or away)34.9%
Handicap -1Stabaek win41.6%
Push (exactly one goal)19.1%
Loss39.4%
Correct score (top 3)2-17.7%
3-17.1%
2-26.3%

Stabaek vs Strommen stats

Stabaek and Strommen recent form

newest first
Stabaek LWLLLL
Strommen DLDLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Stabaek and Strommen going into this match

league record before kick-off

Stabaek record

  • They have won 14 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
  • They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 24 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 7 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Strommen record

  • They have won 7 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 24 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Stabaek vs Strommen head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Stabaek wins 0Draws 1Strommen wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-21StrommenStabaekNorway 1. Division1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Stabaek vs Strommen odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 66.6%, draw 18.1%, away 15.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.37 5.20 6.36
Bet365 1.40 5.25 5.75
BetVictor 1.40 5.00 6.00
Betano 1.40 4.90 6.10
Betfair 1.33 5.00 6.00
Dafabet 1.43 5.20 5.60
Marathonbet 1.36 5.20 6.30
Pinnacle 1.41 5.42 6.32
SBO 1.36 4.68 5.51
William Hill 1.36 4.80 6.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.39 ▲ +0.02
X 5.10 —
2 6.00 ▼ -0.34

13 snapshots recorded, from .