Stabaek
vs
Strommen
Garuda Lions Prediction: Stabaek
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Stabaek vs Strommen overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Stabaek vs Strommen
| Probability | Stabaek | Draw | Strommen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60.6% | 18.5% | 20.9% |
| Market | 67.1% | 18.0% | 15.0% |
| Final | 65.5% | 18.1% | 16.5% |
| Edge | -6.5% | +0.5% | +6.0% |
Why Stabaek
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.76 vs 1.64.
Best available price on the pick: 1.40, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Stabaek vs Strommen match preview
Stabaek faces Strommen in the Norway 1. Division with the model indicating a strong likelihood of a home victory, assigning Stabaek a 61% chance to win. The expected goals suggest a commanding performance from Stabaek, with an anticipated 2.76 goals compared to Strommen's 1.64. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-1, occurring with an 8% probability, while there is an 81% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 76% chance that both teams will score.
Recent form shows Stabaek struggling with six consecutive matches without a win, while Strommen has shown some resilience, managing two wins in their last five games. The most recent head-to-head encounter ended in a 1-0 victory for Strommen, indicating they have the upper hand in their previous matchup. The confidence grade for this prediction is C, based solely on model probabilities.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Stabaek and Strommen expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.40
Stabaek and Strommen attack and defence ratings
Stabaek
Strommen
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 25 fixtures
Before and after this match
Stabaek vs Strommen markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stabaek | 65.5% | 1.53 | -6.5% | 1.40 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 81.5% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76.1% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.5% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Stabaek win | 41.6% | 2.41 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stabaek | 65.5% |
| Draw | 18.1% | |
| Strommen | 16.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 81.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 18.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76.1% |
| No | 23.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 34.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Stabaek win | 41.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.1% | |
| Loss | 39.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 7.7% |
| 3-1 | 7.1% | |
| 2-2 | 6.3% |
Stabaek vs Strommen stats
Stabaek and Strommen recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Stabaek and Strommen season so far
Stabaek record
- They have won 14 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 7 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Strommen record
- They have won 7 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Stabaek vs Strommen head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | Strommen | Stabaek | Norway 1. Division | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Stabaek vs Strommen odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 67.1%, draw 18.0%, away 15.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.37 | 5.20 | 6.36 |
| Bet365 | 1.40 | 5.00 | 5.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.36 | 5.25 | 6.50 |
| Betano | 1.40 | 4.90 | 6.10 |
| Betfair | 1.30 | 5.00 | 6.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.40 | 5.20 | 5.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.36 | 5.20 | 6.30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.39 | 5.27 | 6.13 |
| SBO | 1.36 | 4.56 | 5.32 |
| William Hill | 1.36 | 4.80 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .