Strommen
vs
Asane
Garuda Lions Prediction: Strommen
2 β 1 Predicted score Β· 8% model probability
Strommen vs Asane overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Strommen vs Asane
| Probability | Strommen | Draw | Asane |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.5% | 20.6% | 27.9% |
| Market | β | β | β |
| Final | 51.5% | 20.6% | 27.9% |
| Edge | β | β | β |
Why Strommen
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.42 vs 1.79.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Strommen vs Asane match preview
Strommen hosts Asane in the Norway 1. Division with a forecasted probability of 52% for a home win, while Asane has a 28% chance of winning, and a draw stands at 21%. The model suggests a likely scoreline of 2-1, with an 8% probability. Both teams are expected to contribute to an exciting match, with an 79% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 77% chance that both teams will score.
Recent form indicates that Strommen has recorded two wins in their last six matches, while Asane has struggled, failing to secure a win in their last six outings. The expected goals for Strommen are 2.42, compared to Asane's 1.79, suggesting a competitive match ahead. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Strommen and Asane expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.21
Strommen and Asane attack and defence ratings
Strommen
Asane
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
Before and after this match
Strommen vs Asane markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Strommen | 51.5% | 1.94 | β | β |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79.1% | 1.26 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76.5% | 1.31 | β | β |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 79.4% | 1.26 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.5% | 2.06 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Strommen | 51.5% |
| Draw | 20.6% | |
| Asane | 27.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 20.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76.5% |
| No | 23.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Strommen win | 32.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.9% | |
| Loss | 48.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 7.8% |
| 1-1 | 7.1% | |
| 2-2 | 7.0% |
Strommen vs Asane stats
Strommen and Asane recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Strommen and Asane season so far
Strommen record
- They have won 7 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Asane record
- They have won 5 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 23 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Strommen vs Asane head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Asane | Strommen | Norway 1. Division | 4-5 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.