Norway 1. Division · Full time ·Matchday 26

Stabaek vs Sandnes ULF

4 – 1 Full time

6′A. Sanyang
26′A. Nyhagen
44′W. Wendt
46′Y. de LanlayE. Debes
46′O. BardarsonK. Pereira
46′A. MemedM. Sundberg
47′A. Sanyang
61′W. WendtF. Krogstad
61′A. SanyangJ. Hanstad
61′A. MaticG. Vetti
63′G. Vetti
69′A. NyhagenE. Berland
69′K. KostadinovS. Saugestad
71′E. LerengO. Veum
73′O. Sundgot
73′J. HanstadS. Olderheim
82′S. Saugestad
84′M. Dahlby

Nadderud Stadion, BekkestuaReferee: P. Heiberg

Stabaek 63%
Draw 19%
Sandnes ULF 17%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Stabaek vs Sandnes ULF overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Stabaek vs Sandnes ULF

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityStabaekDrawSandnes ULF
Model55.9%21.6%22.5%
Market65.4%18.8%15.8%
Final63.0%19.5%17.5%
Edge-2.4%+0.7%+1.7%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Stabaek

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.25 vs 1.40.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Stabaek ↓ / Sandnes ULF → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 5% 9% 6% 2 7% 9% 6% 3 5% 7% 5% 4+ 5% 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 89%
3+ goals 71%
No goals 3%

Stabaek and Sandnes ULF expected goals

Stabaek 2.25
Sandnes ULF 1.40

Total expected goals: 3.65

Stabaek and Sandnes ULF attack and defence ratings

Stabaek

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Sandnes ULF

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 1.08 +8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Stabaek vs Sandnes ULF: result vs prediction

Stabaek 4 – 1 Sandnes ULF

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 26 fixtures

Norway 1. Division

Before and after this match

Stabaek vs Sandnes ULF markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Stabaek 63.0% 1.59 -2.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 70.6% 1.42 — —
Both teams to score Yes 68.2% 1.47 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 82.5% 1.21 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 44.1% 2.27 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Stabaek63.0%
Draw19.5%
Sandnes ULF17.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.570.6%
Under 2.529.4%
Both teams to scoreYes68.2%
No31.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)82.5%
12 (either side)80.5%
X2 (draw or away)37.0%
Handicap -1Stabaek win35.3%
Push (exactly one goal)20.6%
Loss44.1%
Correct score (top 3)2-19.2%
1-19.0%
3-16.9%

Stabaek vs Sandnes ULF stats

Stabaek and Sandnes ULF recent form

newest first
Stabaek DLWLLL
Sandnes ULF DDLWLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Stabaek and Sandnes ULF going into this match

league record before kick-off

Stabaek record

  • They have won 14 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
  • They average 2.9 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 25 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 7 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sandnes ULF record

  • They have won 7 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 25 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Stabaek vs Sandnes ULF head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

3Stabaek wins 1Draws 1Sandnes ULF wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-10Sandnes ULFStabaekNorway 1. Division0-1
2024-08-19Sandnes ULFStabaek1. Division1-3
2024-07-31StabaekSandnes ULF1. Division3-0
2022-10-22Sandnes ULFStabaek1. Division2-2
2022-04-25StabaekSandnes ULF1. Division0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Stabaek vs Sandnes ULF odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 65.4%, draw 18.8%, away 15.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.40 5.00 6.06
Bet365 1.45 4.75 5.75
BetVictor 1.40 5.00 6.00
Betano 1.42 4.85 5.80
Betfair 1.36 4.75 6.00
Dafabet 1.45 4.90 5.60
Marathonbet 1.39 5.00 6.00
Pinnacle 1.45 5.24 5.74
SBO 1.38 4.51 5.51
William Hill 1.40 4.60 5.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.40 —
X 4.88 ▼ -0.15
2 5.78 ▲ +0.10

6 snapshots recorded, from .