Stabaek
vs
Sandnes ULF
Garuda Lions Prediction: Stabaek
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Stabaek vs Sandnes ULF overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Stabaek vs Sandnes ULF
| Probability | Stabaek | Draw | Sandnes ULF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.6% | 21.4% | 23.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 55.6% | 21.4% | 23.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Stabaek
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.29 vs 1.45.
Stabaek vs Sandnes ULF match preview
Stabaek faces Sandnes ULF in a Norway 1. Division match on October 14, 2026. According to our model, Stabaek has a 56% chance of winning, while Sandnes ULF has a 23% probability of victory, and a draw stands at 21%. The expected goals are 2.29 for Stabaek and 1.45 for Sandnes ULF, with the most likely scoreline being 2-1, which has a 9% likelihood.
Recent form shows Stabaek struggling with five losses in their last six matches, while Sandnes ULF has had mixed results, including two draws and a win in their last six games. There is a high probability of over 2.5 goals at 72% and both teams scoring at 70%, indicating a potentially competitive match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Stabaek and Sandnes ULF expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.75
Stabaek and Sandnes ULF attack and defence ratings
Stabaek
Sandnes ULF
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
Before and after this match
Stabaek vs Sandnes ULF markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stabaek | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.2% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.7% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 78.6% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.4% | 2.25 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stabaek | 55.6% |
| Draw | 21.4% | |
| Sandnes ULF | 23.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 27.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.7% |
| No | 30.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Stabaek win | 35.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.3% | |
| Loss | 44.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.0% |
| 1-1 | 8.7% | |
| 3-1 | 6.9% |
Stabaek vs Sandnes ULF stats
Stabaek and Sandnes ULF recent form
| Stabaek |
LWLLLL |
| Sandnes ULF |
DLWLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Stabaek and Sandnes ULF season so far
Stabaek record
- They have won 14 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 7 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sandnes ULF record
- They have won 7 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Stabaek vs Sandnes ULF head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Sandnes ULF | Stabaek | Norway 1. Division | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.