Haugesund
vs
Lyn
Garuda Lions Prediction: Haugesund
3 – 1 Predicted score · 7% model probability
Haugesund vs Lyn overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Haugesund vs Lyn
| Probability | Haugesund | Draw | Lyn |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 68.6% | 15.9% | 15.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 68.6% | 15.9% | 15.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Haugesund
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.11 vs 1.53.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Haugesund vs Lyn match preview
Haugesund enters the match against Lyn with a strong recent form, having won their last six matches. The model predicts a high likelihood of Haugesund winning at 69%, while both teams have a 16% probability of a draw or a Lyn victory. The expected goals for Haugesund stand at 3.11, compared to Lyn's 1.53, suggesting a significant offensive advantage for the home side.
The model also indicates a high chance of a match with over 2.5 goals at 84%, and both teams scoring at 75%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 3-1 in favor of Haugesund, reflecting their dominant form and scoring ability against Lyn, who has struggled recently with two losses in their last three matches.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Haugesund and Lyn expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.63
Haugesund and Lyn attack and defence ratings
Haugesund
Lyn
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
Before and after this match
Haugesund vs Lyn markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Haugesund | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 84.1% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.5% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Haugesund win | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Haugesund | 68.6% |
| Draw | 15.9% | |
| Lyn | 15.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 84.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 15.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.2% |
| No | 24.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 84.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 31.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Haugesund win | 50.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.3% | |
| Loss | 31.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 3-1 | 7.4% |
| 2-1 | 7.2% | |
| 4-1 | 5.8% |
Haugesund vs Lyn stats
Haugesund and Lyn recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Haugesund and Lyn season so far
Haugesund record
- They have won 17 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 3.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
Lyn record
- They have won 8 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 23 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Haugesund vs Lyn head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | Lyn | Haugesund | Norway 1. Division | 2-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.