Norway 1. Division · Full time ·Matchday 25

Lyn vs Stromsgodset

1 – 5 Full time

22′E. Melkersen
33′F. P. Vilaseca Ardraa
41′H. Stengel
46′K. Krasniqi
50′M. Johansen
56′E. RaceO. Gueye
58′E. Melkersen
59′F. P. Vilaseca ArdraaG. Wikheim
59′S. PingelM. Mehnert
62′A. Olsen
64′K. KrasniqiA. Heredia-Randen
70′M. JohansenA. Memedov
70′J. SkaugW. T. Waehler
70′A. HellumF. Sock
78′V. DedesO. Enersen
78′E. MelkersenE. Ingebrethsen
81′O. Gueye
85′A. OlsenI. Monglo

Bislett Stadium, OsloReferee: M. Berg

Lyn 21%
Draw 20%
Stromsgodset 59%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Lyn vs Stromsgodset overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Lyn vs Stromsgodset

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLynDrawStromsgodset
Model25.9%21.8%52.3%
Market19.7%19.6%60.7%
Final21.3%20.1%58.6%
Edge+1.6%+0.6%-2.1%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Stromsgodset

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.23 vs 1.56.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Lyn ↓ / Stromsgodset → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 9% 9% 7% 6% 2 6% 7% 5% 5% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 90%
3+ goals 73%
No goals 3%

Lyn and Stromsgodset expected goals

Lyn 1.56
Stromsgodset 2.23

Total expected goals: 3.79

Lyn and Stromsgodset attack and defence ratings

Lyn

Attack 1.22 +22%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Stromsgodset

Attack 1.36 +36%
Defence 0.68 -32%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Lyn vs Stromsgodset: result vs prediction

Lyn 1 – 5 Stromsgodset

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 25 fixtures

Norway 1. Division

Before and after this match

Lyn vs Stromsgodset markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Stromsgodset 58.6% 1.71 -2.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 73.0% 1.37 — —
Both teams to score Yes 71.3% 1.40 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 79.9% 1.25 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 47.7% 2.09 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Lyn21.3%
Draw20.1%
Stromsgodset58.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.573.0%
Under 2.527.0%
Both teams to scoreYes71.3%
No28.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)41.4%
12 (either side)79.9%
X2 (draw or away)78.7%
Handicap -1Stromsgodset win32.4%
Push (exactly one goal)19.9%
Loss47.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-28.8%
1-18.6%
2-26.8%

Lyn vs Stromsgodset stats

Lyn and Stromsgodset recent form

newest first
Lyn LLWWDD
Stromsgodset WWWWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Lyn and Stromsgodset going into this match

league record before kick-off

Lyn record

  • They have won 8 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 24 matches.
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Stromsgodset record

  • They have won 15 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).

Lyn vs Stromsgodset head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Lyn wins 1Draws 0Stromsgodset wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-25StromsgodsetLynNorway 1. Division1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Lyn vs Stromsgodset odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 19.7%, draw 19.6%, away 60.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 4.65 4.70 1.54
Bet365 5.00 4.75 1.50
BetVictor 4.75 4.75 1.53
Betano 4.70 4.50 1.55
Betfair 4.75 4.75 1.44
Dafabet 4.70 4.80 1.55
Marathonbet 4.70 4.70 1.52
Pinnacle 4.92 4.92 1.55
SBO 4.31 4.36 1.51
William Hill 4.60 4.33 1.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.70 ▲ +0.54
X 4.72 ▲ +0.17
2 1.52 ▼ -0.08

13 snapshots recorded, from .