Lyn
vs
Stromsgodset
Garuda Lions Prediction: Stromsgodset
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Lyn vs Stromsgodset overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lyn vs Stromsgodset
| Probability | Lyn | Draw | Stromsgodset |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.9% | 21.8% | 52.3% |
| Market | 19.8% | 19.9% | 60.3% |
| Final | 21.3% | 20.4% | 58.3% |
| Edge | +6.1% | +1.9% | -8.0% |
Why Stromsgodset
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.23 vs 1.56.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.57, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Lyn vs Stromsgodset match preview
Lyn faces Stromsgodset in the Norway 1. Division with the model indicating a 26% probability of a Lyn victory, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 52% likelihood of a Stromsgodset win. The expected goals for Lyn stand at 1.56, while Stromsgodset is projected to score 2.23. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, occurring with a 9% probability.
Both teams show strong offensive capabilities, with a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 71% probability that both teams will score. Recent form favors Stromsgodset, who have won four of their last six matches, while Lyn has recorded two losses in their last three outings. In their last head-to-head encounter, Lyn has not secured a win against Stromsgodset, with one draw recorded.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Lyn and Stromsgodset expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.79
Lyn and Stromsgodset attack and defence ratings
Lyn
Stromsgodset
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 25 fixtures
Before and after this match
Lyn vs Stromsgodset markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stromsgodset | 58.3% | 1.72 | -8.0% | 1.57 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 79.6% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.7% | 2.09 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lyn | 21.3% |
| Draw | 20.4% | |
| Stromsgodset | 58.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 27.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.3% |
| No | 28.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 41.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 78.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Stromsgodset win | 32.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.9% | |
| Loss | 47.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 8.8% |
| 1-1 | 8.6% | |
| 2-2 | 6.8% |
Lyn vs Stromsgodset stats
Lyn and Stromsgodset recent form
| Lyn |
LLWWDD |
| Stromsgodset |
WWWWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Lyn and Stromsgodset season so far
Lyn record
- They have won 8 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 23 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Stromsgodset record
- They have won 14 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Lyn vs Stromsgodset head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Stromsgodset | Lyn | Norway 1. Division | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Lyn vs Stromsgodset odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 19.8%, draw 19.9%, away 60.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.65 | 4.70 | 1.54 |
| Bet365 | 4.75 | 4.50 | 1.50 |
| BetVictor | 4.75 | 4.75 | 1.53 |
| Betano | 4.55 | 4.50 | 1.57 |
| Betfair | 4.75 | 4.75 | 1.44 |
| Dafabet | 4.40 | 4.60 | 1.57 |
| Marathonbet | 4.70 | 4.70 | 1.52 |
| Pinnacle | 4.79 | 4.76 | 1.54 |
| SBO | 4.12 | 4.17 | 1.51 |
| William Hill | 4.40 | 4.20 | 1.55 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .