Lyn
vs
Stromsgodset
1 – 5 Full time
| 22′ | E. Melkersen | ||
| 33′ | F. P. Vilaseca Ardraa | ||
| 41′ | H. Stengel | ||
| 46′ | K. Krasniqi | ||
| 50′ | M. Johansen | ||
| 56′ | E. RaceO. Gueye | ||
| 58′ | E. Melkersen | ||
| 59′ | F. P. Vilaseca ArdraaG. Wikheim | ||
| 59′ | S. PingelM. Mehnert | ||
| 62′ | A. Olsen | ||
| 64′ | K. KrasniqiA. Heredia-Randen | ||
| 70′ | M. JohansenA. Memedov | ||
| 70′ | J. SkaugW. T. Waehler | ||
| 70′ | A. HellumF. Sock | ||
| 78′ | V. DedesO. Enersen | ||
| 78′ | E. MelkersenE. Ingebrethsen | ||
| 81′ | O. Gueye | ||
| 85′ | A. OlsenI. Monglo |
Lyn vs Stromsgodset overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lyn vs Stromsgodset
| Probability | Lyn | Draw | Stromsgodset |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.9% | 21.8% | 52.3% |
| Market | 19.7% | 19.6% | 60.7% |
| Final | 21.3% | 20.1% | 58.6% |
| Edge | +1.6% | +0.6% | -2.1% |
Why Stromsgodset
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.23 vs 1.56.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Lyn and Stromsgodset expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.79
Lyn and Stromsgodset attack and defence ratings
Lyn
Stromsgodset
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Lyn vs Stromsgodset: result vs prediction
Lyn 1 – 5 Stromsgodset
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 25 fixtures
Before and after this match
Lyn vs Stromsgodset markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stromsgodset | 58.6% | 1.71 | -2.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 79.9% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.7% | 2.09 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lyn | 21.3% |
| Draw | 20.1% | |
| Stromsgodset | 58.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 27.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.3% |
| No | 28.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 41.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 78.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Stromsgodset win | 32.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.9% | |
| Loss | 47.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 8.8% |
| 1-1 | 8.6% | |
| 2-2 | 6.8% |
Lyn vs Stromsgodset stats
Lyn and Stromsgodset recent form
| LLWWDD | |
| WWWWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Lyn and Stromsgodset going into this match
Lyn record
- They have won 8 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 24 matches.
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Stromsgodset record
- They have won 15 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Lyn vs Stromsgodset head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Stromsgodset | Lyn | Norway 1. Division | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Lyn vs Stromsgodset odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 19.7%, draw 19.6%, away 60.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.65 | 4.70 | 1.54 |
| Bet365 | 5.00 | 4.75 | 1.50 |
| BetVictor | 4.75 | 4.75 | 1.53 |
| Betano | 4.70 | 4.50 | 1.55 |
| Betfair | 4.75 | 4.75 | 1.44 |
| Dafabet | 4.70 | 4.80 | 1.55 |
| Marathonbet | 4.70 | 4.70 | 1.52 |
| Pinnacle | 4.92 | 4.92 | 1.55 |
| SBO | 4.31 | 4.36 | 1.51 |
| William Hill | 4.60 | 4.33 | 1.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .