Norway 1. Division · Full time ·Matchday 24

Stromsgodset vs Asane

1 – 0 Full time

46′E. Melkersen
60′G. WikheimM. Mehnert
74′S. PingelE. Ingebrethsen
80′K. HagaS. Brudvik
80′S. NygardB. Baldursson
80′L. VilsvikO. Enersen
80′E. MelkersenB. Sormo
85′M. HagaS. Haga
90′F. OpreaA. Sundsoy
90′J. EikremG. Ramsay

Marienlyst Stadion, DrammenReferee: J. Mertens

Stromsgodset 82%
Draw 11%
Asane 7%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Stromsgodset vs Asane overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Stromsgodset vs Asane

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityStromsgodsetDrawAsane
Model80.1%12.1%7.8%
Market82.1%10.8%7.1%
Final81.6%11.1%7.2%
Edge-2.0%+1.3%+0.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Stromsgodset

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.37 vs 1.08.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Stromsgodset ↓ / Asane → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 2 3 8% 4+ 15% 16% 9%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 94%
3+ goals 82%
No goals 2%

Stromsgodset and Asane expected goals

Stromsgodset 3.37
Asane 1.08

Total expected goals: 4.45

Stromsgodset and Asane attack and defence ratings

Stromsgodset

Attack 1.49 +49%
Defence 0.74 -26%

Asane

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 1.20 +20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Stromsgodset vs Asane: result vs prediction

Stromsgodset 1 – 0 Asane

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 24 fixtures

Norway 1. Division

Before and after this match

Stromsgodset vs Asane markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Stromsgodset 81.6% 1.23 -2.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 82.1% 1.22 — —
Both teams to score Yes 64.3% 1.56 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 92.8% 1.08 — —
Handicap -1 Stromsgodset win 63.5% 1.58 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Stromsgodset81.6%
Draw11.1%
Asane7.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.582.1%
Under 2.517.9%
Both teams to scoreYes64.3%
No35.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)92.8%
12 (either side)88.9%
X2 (draw or away)18.4%
Handicap -1Stromsgodset win63.5%
Push (exactly one goal)16.6%
Loss19.9%
Correct score (top 3)3-18.0%
3-07.4%
2-17.2%

Stromsgodset vs Asane stats

Stromsgodset and Asane recent form

newest first
Stromsgodset WWWDWW
Asane LDDDDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Stromsgodset and Asane going into this match

league record before kick-off

Stromsgodset record

  • They have won 14 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 23 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).

Asane record

  • They have won 5 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 23 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 23 matches.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Stromsgodset vs Asane head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

1Stromsgodset wins 0Draws 0Asane wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-10AsaneStromsgodsetNorway 1. Division0-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Stromsgodset vs Asane odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 82.1%, draw 10.8%, away 7.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.14 9.40 14.40
Bet365 1.14 7.50 13.00
BetVictor 1.13 8.50 15.00
Betano 1.16 7.20 12.50
Betfair 1.10 8.50 13.00
Marathonbet 1.12 8.90 12.00
Pinnacle 1.12 10.60 14.56
SBO 1.12 6.95 9.45
William Hill 1.12 8.50 12.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.12 ▲ +0.02
X 8.50 ▼ -0.60
2 13.00 ▼ -1.00

15 snapshots recorded, from .