Norway 1. Division · Full time ·Matchday 23

Raufoss vs Stromsgodset

0 – 2 Full time

11′M. Aanesland
45′E. Melkersen
46′E. IngebrethsenK. Antonsen
46′N. FremstadU. Danbolt
57′E. Melkersen
62′M. AaneslandS. Coulibaly
66′L. VilsvikO. Enersen
66′E. MelkersenG. Wikheim
71′U. Danbolt
78′S. PingelM. Mehnert
82′H. Holter
84′K. Antonsen
86′R. Zekhnini
87′M. LarsenJ. Dalen Korsaksel
88′F. P. Vilaseca ArdraaA. Heredia-Randen
90′E. SildnesY. Agyeman

NAMMO Stadion, RaufossReferee: A. Medic

Raufoss 11%
Draw 14%
Stromsgodset 75%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Raufoss vs Stromsgodset overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Raufoss vs Stromsgodset

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRaufossDrawStromsgodset
Model10.2%12.2%77.6%
Market11.3%15.2%73.5%
Final11.0%14.5%74.5%
Edge-1.1%-2.9%+4.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Stromsgodset

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.64 vs 1.42.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Stromsgodset below the model: +4.0 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Raufoss ↓ / Stromsgodset → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 1 17% 2 12% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 99%
2+ goals 96%
3+ goals 88%
No goals 1%

Raufoss and Stromsgodset expected goals

Raufoss 1.42
Stromsgodset 3.64

Total expected goals: 5.06

Raufoss and Stromsgodset attack and defence ratings

Raufoss

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 1.43 +43%

Stromsgodset

Attack 1.58 +58%
Defence 0.80 -20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Raufoss vs Stromsgodset: result vs prediction

Raufoss 0 – 2 Stromsgodset

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 23 fixtures

Norway 1. Division

Before and after this match

Raufoss vs Stromsgodset markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Stromsgodset 74.5% 1.34 +4.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 88.1% 1.14 — —
Both teams to score Yes 74.3% 1.35 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 89.0% 1.12 — —
Handicap -1 Stromsgodset win 61.5% 1.62 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Raufoss11.0%
Draw14.5%
Stromsgodset74.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.588.1%
Under 2.511.9%
Both teams to scoreYes74.3%
No25.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)25.5%
12 (either side)85.5%
X2 (draw or away)89.0%
Handicap -1Stromsgodset win61.5%
Push (exactly one goal)16.0%
Loss22.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-37.2%
1-46.6%
1-26.0%

Raufoss vs Stromsgodset stats

Raufoss and Stromsgodset recent form

newest first
Raufoss WWLLLW
Stromsgodset WWDWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Raufoss and Stromsgodset going into this match

league record before kick-off

Raufoss record

  • They have won 6 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 22 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Stromsgodset record

  • They have won 13 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).

Raufoss vs Stromsgodset head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

0Raufoss wins 1Draws 3Stromsgodset wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-14StromsgodsetRaufossNorway 1. Division6-1
2023-02-09StromsgodsetRaufossFriendlies Clubs2-0
2022-03-12RaufossStromsgodsetNM Cupen1-1
2020-06-09StromsgodsetRaufossFriendlies Clubs3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Raufoss vs Stromsgodset odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 11.3%, draw 15.2%, away 73.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 8.20 6.10 1.26
Bet365 7.50 6.25 1.28
BetVictor 8.50 6.50 1.25
Betano 7.50 5.90 1.29
Betfair 8.50 6.00 1.20
Marathonbet 8.20 6.10 1.25
Pinnacle 8.43 6.54 1.27
SBO 6.38 5.42 1.28
William Hill 7.50 5.50 1.25

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 8.20 ▲ +0.38
X 6.10 ▲ +0.32
2 1.26 ▼ -0.01

9 snapshots recorded, from .