Norway 1. Division · Full time ·Matchday 22

Stromsgodset vs Sandnes ULF

4 – 1 Full time

32′J. Taaje
34′M. Sundberg
37′J. Taaje
45′E. Melkersen
52′E. Ingebrethsen
58′M. SundbergO. Bardarson
58′A. JorgensenY. de Lanlay
63′E. IngebrethsenG. Wikheim
63′E. MelkersenM. Mehnert
67′A. NyhagenM. Henriksen
67′Z. NsoniE. Berland
72′K. KrasniqiA. Heredia-Randen
72′L. VilsvikO. Enersen
76′O. SundgotJ. Aune
81′S. PingelK. A. Daehlin
84′M. Henriksen
90′O. Bardarson

Marienlyst Stadion, DrammenReferee: F. Oppong

Stromsgodset 70%
Draw 17%
Sandnes ULF 13%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Stromsgodset vs Sandnes ULF overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Stromsgodset vs Sandnes ULF

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityStromsgodsetDrawSandnes ULF
Model69.2%17.1%13.7%
Market70.8%16.9%12.4%
Final70.4%16.9%12.7%
Edge-1.6%+0.3%+1.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Stromsgodset

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.76 vs 1.22.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Stromsgodset ↓ / Sandnes ULF → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 2 7% 9% 3 7% 8% 4+ 9% 11% 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 91%
3+ goals 76%
No goals 2%

Stromsgodset and Sandnes ULF expected goals

Stromsgodset 2.76
Sandnes ULF 1.22

Total expected goals: 3.98

Stromsgodset and Sandnes ULF attack and defence ratings

Stromsgodset

Attack 1.50 +50%
Defence 0.80 -20%

Sandnes ULF

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 0.99 -1%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Stromsgodset vs Sandnes ULF: result vs prediction

Stromsgodset 4 – 1 Sandnes ULF

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 22 fixtures

Norway 1. Division

Before and after this match

Stromsgodset vs Sandnes ULF markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Stromsgodset 70.4% 1.42 -1.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 75.9% 1.32 — —
Both teams to score Yes 66.5% 1.50 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 87.3% 1.15 — —
Handicap -1 Stromsgodset win 49.5% 2.02 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Stromsgodset70.4%
Draw16.9%
Sandnes ULF12.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.575.9%
Under 2.524.1%
Both teams to scoreYes66.5%
No33.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)87.3%
12 (either side)83.1%
X2 (draw or away)29.6%
Handicap -1Stromsgodset win49.5%
Push (exactly one goal)19.7%
Loss30.8%
Correct score (top 3)2-18.7%
3-18.0%
2-07.1%

Stromsgodset vs Sandnes ULF stats

Stromsgodset and Sandnes ULF recent form

newest first
Stromsgodset WDWWWW
Sandnes ULF DWWLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Stromsgodset and Sandnes ULF going into this match

league record before kick-off

Stromsgodset record

  • They have won 12 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 21 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).

Sandnes ULF record

  • They have won 7 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 21 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 21 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Stromsgodset vs Sandnes ULF head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Stromsgodset wins 1Draws 0Sandnes ULF wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-26Sandnes ULFStromsgodsetNorway 1. Division1-1
2022-03-19Sandnes ULFStromsgodsetNM Cupen0-4

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Stromsgodset vs Sandnes ULF odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 70.5%, draw 17.2%, away 12.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.31 5.65 7.49
Bet365 1.33 5.25 8.00
BetVictor 1.30 5.75 7.50
Betano 1.32 5.30 7.40
Betfair 1.25 5.50 7.50
Marathonbet 1.30 5.65 7.50
Pinnacle 1.33 6.08 7.51
SBO 1.34 4.81 5.32
Unibet 1.40 4.75 5.60
William Hill 1.30 5.00 6.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.31 ▼ -0.02
X 5.50 ▼ -0.15
2 7.50 ▲ +0.67

13 snapshots recorded, from .