Norway 1. Division · Full time ·Matchday 22

hodd vs Lyn

0 – 2 Full time

36′F. Sock
56′J. Nois
61′M. RawufuK. Abrahamsen
76′F. SockW. Sell
80′J. NoisA. Memedov
83′J. Skaug
86′J. Skaug
90′M. Kaarsbo
90′K. AbrahamsenA. Roppen

Referee: H. Nervik

hodd 38%
Draw 23%
Lyn 39%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

hodd vs Lyn overview

Garuda Lions analysis: hodd vs Lyn

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityhoddDrawLyn
Model37.5%19.5%43.0%
Market37.8%24.4%37.8%
Final37.7%23.2%39.1%
Edge-0.3%-4.9%+5.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Lyn

  • The market prices Lyn below the model: +5.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

hodd ↓ / Lyn → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 5% 6% 5% 5% 2 5% 7% 6% 6% 3 4% 5% 4% 5% 4+ 4% 5% 5% 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 99%
2+ goals 96%
3+ goals 86%
No goals 1%

hodd and Lyn expected goals

hodd 2.35
Lyn 2.51

Total expected goals: 4.86

hodd and Lyn attack and defence ratings

hodd

Attack 1.17 +17%
Defence 1.16 +16%

Lyn

Attack 1.35 +35%
Defence 1.08 +8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

hodd vs Lyn: result vs prediction

hodd 0 – 2 Lyn

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 22 fixtures

Norway 1. Division

Before and after this match

hodd vs Lyn markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Lyn 39.1% 2.56 +5.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 86.3% 1.16 — —
Both teams to score Yes 83.6% 1.20 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.8% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.0% 1.76 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2hodd37.7%
Draw23.2%
Lyn39.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.586.3%
Under 2.513.7%
Both teams to scoreYes83.6%
No16.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)60.9%
12 (either side)76.8%
X2 (draw or away)62.3%
Handicap -1Lyn win26.4%
Push (exactly one goal)16.6%
Loss57.0%
Correct score (top 3)2-26.7%
1-25.7%
2-35.6%

hodd vs Lyn stats

hodd and Lyn recent form

newest first
hodd DWLWWW
Lyn DDWWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

hodd and Lyn going into this match

league record before kick-off

hodd record

  • They have won 10 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 21 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
  • 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Lyn record

  • They have won 7 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 21 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 21 matches.
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

hodd vs Lyn head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

2hodd wins 0Draws 3Lyn wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-27LynhoddNorway 1. Division1-4
2025-09-29hoddLynNorway 1. Division0-1
2025-05-04LynhoddNorway 1. Division0-1
2023-12-02hoddLyn2. Division - Play-offs1-2
2023-11-27Lynhodd2. Division - Play-offs3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

hodd vs Lyn odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 37.8%, draw 24.6%, away 37.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.45 3.80 2.45
Bet365 2.45 3.75 2.50
BetVictor 2.45 3.80 2.50
Betano 2.42 3.75 2.50
Betfair 2.38 3.80 2.38
Marathonbet 2.45 3.80 2.45
Pinnacle 2.50 4.06 2.48
SBO 2.39 3.46 2.26
Unibet 2.50 3.70 2.48
William Hill 2.40 3.60 2.38

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.45 ▼ -0.50
X 3.80 ▲ +0.03
2 2.45 ▲ +0.33

13 snapshots recorded, from .