Norway 1. Division · Full time ·Matchday 22

Bryne vs Stabaek

2 – 0 Full time

5′D. Johannsson
22′W. WendtF. Krogstad
39′D. Johannsson
45′L. Fajfric
46′A. AamodtG. Rapp
46′A. MaticD. dos Santos Jonker
46′K. EkornessA. Hoven
76′S. T. JonassenK. Haland
76′T. EngebakkenL. Qvigstad
82′O. SolnordalE. Lereng

Bryne Stadion, BryneReferee: S. Hauge

Bryne 29%
Draw 26%
Stabaek 45%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Bryne vs Stabaek overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Bryne vs Stabaek

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBryneDrawStabaek
Model25.3%27.2%47.6%
Market30.8%25.1%44.0%
Final29.4%25.6%44.9%
Edge-5.6%+2.0%+3.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Stabaek

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.61 vs 1.12.
  • The market prices Stabaek below the model: +3.5 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Bryne ↓ / Stabaek → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 9% 8% 1 13% 9% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 51%
No goals 8%

Bryne and Stabaek expected goals

Bryne 1.12
Stabaek 1.61

Total expected goals: 2.72

Bryne and Stabaek attack and defence ratings

Bryne

Attack 0.72 -28%
Defence 0.69 -31%

Stabaek

Attack 1.44 +44%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Bryne vs Stabaek: result vs prediction

Bryne 2 – 0 Stabaek

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 22 fixtures

Norway 1. Division

Before and after this match

Bryne vs Stabaek markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Stabaek 44.9% 2.23 +3.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 51.2% 1.95 — —
Both teams to score Yes 54.9% 1.82 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.4% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 52.4% 1.91 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Bryne29.4%
Draw25.6%
Stabaek44.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551.2%
Under 2.548.8%
Both teams to scoreYes54.9%
No45.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)55.1%
12 (either side)74.4%
X2 (draw or away)70.6%
Handicap -1Stabaek win25.4%
Push (exactly one goal)22.1%
Loss52.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.0%
1-29.5%
0-19.4%

Bryne vs Stabaek stats

Bryne and Stabaek recent form

newest first
Bryne LLWWWW
Stabaek LLWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Bryne and Stabaek going into this match

league record before kick-off

Bryne record

  • They have won 9 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 21 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 21 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Stabaek record

  • They have won 13 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
  • They average 3.1 goals per game at home against 2.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 21 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 7 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Bryne vs Stabaek head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

1Bryne wins 2Draws 4Stabaek wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-27StabaekBryneNorway 1. Division2-0
2024-09-01BryneStabaek1. Division3-0
2024-05-08StabaekBryneNM Cupen5-1
2024-04-06StabaekBryne1. Division1-0
2023-03-12StabaekBryneNM Cupen5-0
2022-09-05StabaekBryne1. Division2-2
2022-05-26BryneStabaek1. Division0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Bryne vs Stabaek odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 30.9%, draw 25.2%, away 43.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.05 3.68 2.11
Bet365 3.00 3.60 2.15
BetVictor 3.00 3.75 2.10
Betano 3.00 3.65 2.10
Betfair 2.80 3.75 2.05
Dafabet 2.85 3.65 2.18
Marathonbet 3.04 3.68 2.09
Pinnacle 3.12 3.86 2.13
SBO 2.81 3.32 2.11
Unibet 2.85 3.75 2.20
William Hill 2.90 3.50 2.05

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.00 —
X 3.68 ▼ -0.10
2 2.10 —

14 snapshots recorded, from .