NM Cupen
·
Full time
·Round of 64
Bjarg
vs
Bryne
1 – 4 Full time
| 66′ | A. Molund | ||
| 68′ | D. Johannsson | ||
| 76′ | K. Haland | ||
| 78′ | M. Ali Alzubi | ||
| 84′ | C. Voll |
Bjarg
17%
Draw
27%
Bryne
56%
Bjarg vs Bryne overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bjarg vs Bryne
| Probability | Bjarg | Draw | Bryne |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 17.2% | 27.1% | 55.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 17.2% | 27.1% | 55.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Bryne
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.61 vs 0.80.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
90%
2+ goals
70%
3+ goals
43%
No goals
10%
Bjarg and Bryne expected goals
Bjarg
0.80
Bryne
1.61
Total expected goals: 2.41
Bjarg and Bryne attack and defence ratings
Bjarg
Attack
1.04 +4%
Defence
0.76 -24%
Bryne
Attack
0.63 -37%
Defence
0.51 -49%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Bjarg vs Bryne: result vs prediction
Bjarg 1 – 4 Bryne
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Round of 64 fixtures
Before and after this match
Bjarg vs Bryne markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bryne | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 82.8% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.5% | 2.25 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bjarg | 17.2% |
| Draw | 27.1% | |
| Bryne | 55.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.0% |
| No | 55.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 44.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 82.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bryne win | 30.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.9% | |
| Loss | 44.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 13.4% |
| 1-1 | 12.7% | |
| 0-2 | 11.7% |