Bjarg
vs
Kjelsås
Garuda Lions Prediction: Bjarg
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Bjarg vs Kjelsås overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bjarg vs Kjelsås
| Probability | Bjarg | Draw | Kjelsås |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.2% | 22.5% | 35.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 42.2% | 22.5% | 35.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Bjarg
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Bjarg vs Kjelsås match preview
Bjarg faces Kjelsås in the Norway 1. Division with a kickoff scheduled for November 7, 2026. According to our model, Bjarg has a 42% probability of winning, while Kjelsås stands at 35%, and a draw is estimated at 23%. The expected goals for Bjarg are 2.03, compared to Kjelsås's 1.85, suggesting a competitive match. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-1 in favor of Bjarg, occurring with an 8% likelihood.
Both teams have shown a tendency to score, with our model indicating a 74% probability for over 2.5 goals and the same percentage for both teams to score. Recent form shows Bjarg with three wins in their last five matches, while Kjelsås has also performed well, with three wins and a draw in their last five outings. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bjarg and Kjelsås expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.88
Bjarg and Kjelsås attack and defence ratings
Bjarg
Kjelsås
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Before and after this match
Bjarg vs Kjelsås markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bjarg | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.5% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bjarg | 42.2% |
| Draw | 22.5% | |
| Kjelsås | 35.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 25.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.9% |
| No | 26.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bjarg win | 24.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.1% | |
| Loss | 57.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.6% |
| 2-1 | 7.9% | |
| 2-2 | 7.3% |