Norway 1. Division · Full time ·Semi-finals - Relegation

Kjelsås vs Bjarg

2 – 3 Full time

17′O. Midtskogen
40′A. Ahlander
52′L. Hermansen
54′A. Ahlander
59′T. RekdalM. Solheim
59′J. JorgensenE. Brattreit
65′C. Petros
69′A. Ahlander
72′S. Hopsdal
73′S. GraesdahlH. Meinseth
75′D. TuftaE. Fromreide Aasbo
78′L. HermansenE. Willumsen
78′C. PetrosJ. Hanstad
81′M. EianeA. Hanssen
81′V. HalsetS. Stronstad-Loseth
88′J. Wold

Grefsen Stadion, OsloReferee: J. W. Grundt

Kjelsås 38%
Draw 24%
Bjarg 38%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Kjelsås vs Bjarg overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Kjelsås vs Bjarg

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKjelsåsDrawBjarg
Model38.1%24.3%37.6%
Market———
Final38.1%24.3%37.6%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Kjelsås ↓ / Bjarg → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 10% 8% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 67%
No goals 4%

Kjelsås and Bjarg expected goals

Kjelsås 1.74
Bjarg 1.73

Total expected goals: 3.47

Kjelsås and Bjarg attack and defence ratings

Kjelsås

Attack 0.99 -1%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Bjarg

Attack 1.15 +15%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Kjelsås vs Bjarg: result vs prediction

Kjelsås 2 – 3 Bjarg

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Before and after this match

Kjelsås vs Bjarg markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Kjelsås 38.1% 2.62 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 67.3% 1.49 — —
Both teams to score Yes 68.7% 1.45 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.7% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 61.9% 1.62 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Kjelsås38.1%
Draw24.3%
Bjarg37.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.567.3%
Under 2.532.7%
Both teams to scoreYes68.7%
No31.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)62.4%
12 (either side)75.7%
X2 (draw or away)61.9%
Handicap -1Kjelsås win20.2%
Push (exactly one goal)17.9%
Loss61.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.3%
2-18.2%
1-28.1%

Kjelsås vs Bjarg stats

Kjelsås and Bjarg recent form

newest first
Kjelsås LLWDWW
Bjarg WLWLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Kjelsås vs Bjarg head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Kjelsås wins 0Draws 1Bjarg wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-11-07BjargKjelsåsNorway 1. Division2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Kjelsås vs Bjarg odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.