NM Cupen · Full time ·Round of 64

Kjelsås vs Ham-Kam

0 – 2 Full time

45′S. Nilsen
79′L. Mettler
Kjelsås 22%
Draw 21%
Ham-Kam 57%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Kjelsås vs Ham-Kam overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Kjelsås vs Ham-Kam

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKjelsåsDrawHam-Kam
Model32.1%24.5%43.4%
Market18.4%20.3%61.2%
Final21.8%21.4%56.8%
Edge+13.7%+4.2%-17.9%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Kjelsås ↓ / Ham-Kam → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 11% 9% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 65%
No goals 4%

Kjelsås and Ham-Kam expected goals

Kjelsås 1.55
Ham-Kam 1.81

Total expected goals: 3.37

Kjelsås and Ham-Kam attack and defence ratings

Kjelsås

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 0.79 -21%

Ham-Kam

Attack 0.69 -31%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Kjelsås vs Ham-Kam: result vs prediction

Kjelsås 0 – 2 Ham-Kam

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round of 64 fixtures

NM Cupen

Before and after this match

Kjelsås vs Ham-Kam markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Ham-Kam 56.8% 1.76 -17.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 65.3% 1.53 — —
Both teams to score Yes 66.9% 1.49 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 78.6% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 56.8% 1.76 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Kjelsås21.8%
Draw21.4%
Ham-Kam56.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.565.3%
Under 2.534.7%
Both teams to scoreYes66.9%
No33.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)43.2%
12 (either side)78.6%
X2 (draw or away)78.2%
Handicap -1Ham-Kam win23.8%
Push (exactly one goal)19.4%
Loss56.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.7%
1-28.8%
2-17.5%

Kjelsås vs Ham-Kam stats

Kjelsås and Ham-Kam recent form

newest first
Kjelsås WDWW
Ham-Kam LLDWLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.

Kjelsås vs Ham-Kam head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Kjelsås vs Ham-Kam odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 18.4%, draw 20.3%, away 61.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 5.06 4.65 1.50
Bet365 5.25 4.33 1.45
BetVictor 4.75 4.40 1.55
Betano 5.10 4.25 1.52
Betfair 5.00 4.60 1.44
Marathonbet 4.95 4.70 1.49
Pinnacle 4.53 4.74 1.44
William Hill 4.80 4.00 1.53

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.