Garuda Lions
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NM Cupen · Full time ·Round of 64

Arendal vs Sandnes ULF

1 – 2 Full time

72′M. Sundberg
78′A. Nyhagen
90′H. Suggelia
Arendal 31%
Draw 24%
Sandnes ULF 45%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Arendal vs Sandnes ULF overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Arendal vs Sandnes ULF

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityArendalDrawSandnes ULF
Model23.9%21.4%54.7%
Market33.0%25.3%41.7%
Final30.7%24.3%45.0%
Edge-9.0%-3.9%+12.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Sandnes ULF

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.29 vs 1.50.
  • The market prices Sandnes ULF below the model: +12.9 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Arendal ↓ / Sandnes ULF → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 5% 1 9% 9% 7% 7% 2 6% 7% 5% 5% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 90%
3+ goals 73%
No goals 3%

Arendal and Sandnes ULF expected goals

Arendal 1.50
Sandnes ULF 2.29

Total expected goals: 3.79

Arendal and Sandnes ULF attack and defence ratings

Arendal

Attack 1.15 +15%
Defence 0.93 -7%

Sandnes ULF

Attack 0.74 -26%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Arendal vs Sandnes ULF: result vs prediction

Arendal 1 – 2 Sandnes ULF

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 64 fixtures

NM Cupen

Before and after this match

Arendal vs Sandnes ULF markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sandnes ULF 45.0% 2.22 +12.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 73.0% 1.37 — —
Both teams to score Yes 70.6% 1.42 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.7% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 45.5% 2.20 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Arendal30.7%
Draw24.3%
Sandnes ULF45.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.573.0%
Under 2.527.0%
Both teams to scoreYes70.6%
No29.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)55.0%
12 (either side)75.7%
X2 (draw or away)69.3%
Handicap -1Sandnes ULF win34.4%
Push (exactly one goal)20.1%
Loss45.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-28.9%
1-18.5%
1-36.8%

Arendal vs Sandnes ULF stats

Arendal and Sandnes ULF recent form

newest first
Arendal WLW
Sandnes ULF LDWWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.

Arendal vs Sandnes ULF head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

0Arendal wins 3Draws 3Sandnes ULF wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-10-18Sandnes ULFArendal2. Division - Group 14-1
2025-04-05ArendalSandnes ULF2. Division - Group 13-3
2025-03-14Sandnes ULFArendalFriendlies Clubs2-2
2023-02-18Sandnes ULFArendalFriendlies Clubs1-0
2017-10-15Sandnes ULFArendal1. Division2-2
2017-07-04ArendalSandnes ULF1. Division2-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Arendal vs Sandnes ULF odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 33.0%, draw 25.3%, away 41.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.90 3.60 2.19
Bet365 2.62 3.60 2.20
BetVictor 2.80 3.80 2.15
Betano 2.72 3.60 2.25
Betfair 2.63 3.80 2.15
Marathonbet 2.88 3.60 2.17
Pinnacle 2.85 3.39 2.08
William Hill 2.50 3.70 2.20

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.