NM Cupen · Full time ·Round of 64

Djerv vs Haugesund

0 – 4 Full time

12′A. Grindhaug
16′M. Hope
74′N. Sandberg
84′F. Jakobsen
Djerv 5%
Draw 8%
Haugesund 87%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Djerv vs Haugesund overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Djerv vs Haugesund

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDjervDrawHaugesund
Model4.6%8.0%87.3%
Market———
Final4.6%8.0%87.3%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Haugesund

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 4.12 vs 1.07.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Djerv ↓ / Haugesund → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 20% 1 22% 2 12% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 99%
2+ goals 97%
3+ goals 89%
No goals 1%

Djerv and Haugesund expected goals

Djerv 1.07
Haugesund 4.12

Total expected goals: 5.19

Djerv and Haugesund attack and defence ratings

Djerv

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Haugesund

Attack 1.26 +26%
Defence 0.73 -27%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Djerv vs Haugesund: result vs prediction

Djerv 0 – 4 Haugesund

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round of 64 fixtures

NM Cupen

Before and after this match

Djerv vs Haugesund markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Haugesund 87.3% 1.14 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 89.0% 1.12 — —
Both teams to score Yes 65.0% 1.54 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 95.4% 1.05 — —
Handicap -1 Haugesund win 74.7% 1.34 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Djerv4.6%
Draw8.0%
Haugesund87.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.589.0%
Under 2.511.0%
Both teams to scoreYes65.0%
No35.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)12.7%
12 (either side)92.0%
X2 (draw or away)95.4%
Handicap -1Haugesund win74.7%
Push (exactly one goal)12.6%
Loss12.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-47.2%
1-37.0%
0-46.7%

Djerv vs Haugesund stats

Djerv and Haugesund recent form

newest first
Djerv WLD
Haugesund WWWWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.

Djerv vs Haugesund head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Djerv wins 0Draws 1Haugesund wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2022-05-19DjervHaugesundNM Cupen1-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Djerv vs Haugesund odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.