Norway 1. Division · Full time ·Matchday 21

Haugesund vs Sogndal

2 – 0 Full time

5′I. Camara
57′L. VapneE. L. Hillestad
67′J. Norbye
68′I. CamaraE. Andersen
77′O. HelenP. Asp
77′J. HarunaD. Kongelf
82′L. RemmemA. Grindhaug
82′K. ArierhiE. Flo
89′A. Barkarson
90′N. SandbergE. Rohd

Haugesund Stadion, HaugesundReferee: M. Hafezi

Haugesund 70%
Draw 15%
Sogndal 14%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Haugesund vs Sogndal overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Haugesund vs Sogndal

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHaugesundDrawSogndal
Model65.6%14.7%19.7%
Market72.0%15.6%12.4%
Final70.4%15.4%14.2%
Edge-6.4%-0.9%+7.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Haugesund

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.64 vs 2.15.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Haugesund ↓ / Sogndal → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 2 3 4+ 12% 13% 10% 8%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 99%
2+ goals 98%
3+ goals 93%
No goals 1%

Haugesund and Sogndal expected goals

Haugesund 3.64
Sogndal 2.15

Total expected goals: 5.79

Haugesund and Sogndal attack and defence ratings

Haugesund

Attack 1.68 +68%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Sogndal

Attack 1.32 +32%
Defence 1.17 +17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Haugesund vs Sogndal: result vs prediction

Haugesund 2 – 0 Sogndal

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 21 fixtures

Norway 1. Division

Before and after this match

Haugesund vs Sogndal markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Haugesund 70.4% 1.42 -6.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 92.8% 1.08 — —
Both teams to score Yes 86.2% 1.16 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 85.8% 1.17 — —
Handicap -1 Haugesund win 49.1% 2.04 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Haugesund70.4%
Draw15.4%
Sogndal14.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.592.8%
Under 2.57.2%
Both teams to scoreYes86.2%
No13.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)85.8%
12 (either side)84.6%
X2 (draw or away)29.6%
Handicap -1Haugesund win49.1%
Push (exactly one goal)16.5%
Loss34.4%
Correct score (top 3)3-25.7%
3-15.3%
4-25.2%

Haugesund vs Sogndal stats

Haugesund and Sogndal recent form

newest first
Haugesund WWWLWW
Sogndal LDWWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Haugesund and Sogndal going into this match

league record before kick-off

Haugesund record

  • They have won 14 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 3.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 20 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).

Sogndal record

  • They have won 6 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 20 matches.
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Haugesund vs Sogndal head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1Haugesund wins 1Draws 3Sogndal wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-10SogndalHaugesundNorway 1. Division5-1
2017-09-17SogndalHaugesundEliteserien0-1
2017-05-07HaugesundSogndalEliteserien0-0
2016-07-31HaugesundSogndalEliteserien0-1
2016-04-08SogndalHaugesundEliteserien1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Haugesund vs Sogndal odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 69.6%, draw 16.5%, away 13.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.29 5.95 7.65
Bet365 1.30 5.25 6.50
BetVictor 1.29 6.00 8.00
Betano 1.37 5.50 6.10
Betfair 1.30 5.50 6.50
Dafabet 1.35 5.80 6.20
Marathonbet 1.28 5.95 7.70
Pinnacle 1.31 6.38 7.36
SBO 1.30 5.13 5.61
Unibet 1.41 5.10 5.80
William Hill 1.29 5.50 7.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.29 ▼ -0.08
X 5.95 ▲ +0.52
2 7.51 ▲ +1.51

9 snapshots recorded, from .