Norway 1. Division · Full time ·Matchday 22

Sogndal vs Strommen

1 – 1 Full time

30′T. Ogboji
41′A. BarkarsonE. L. Hillestad
46′K. HarrisonL. Gausdal
53′E. Hovland
70′A. NordG. Grobelnik
70′S. BeckE. Rogne
75′K. Arierhi
82′K. SomesiM. Moldskred
84′S. Haruna
85′K. ArierhiO. Helen
87′J. KristengardT. Benjamin
88′G. Grobelnik
90′M. Balatoni
90′L. VapneP. Asp

Fosshaugane Campus, SogndalReferee: A. Al Hatem

Sogndal 51%
Draw 22%
Strommen 28%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Sogndal vs Strommen overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sogndal vs Strommen

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySogndalDrawStrommen
Model56.6%17.9%25.5%
Market48.6%23.1%28.3%
Final50.6%21.8%27.6%
Edge+8.0%-5.1%-2.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Sogndal

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.93 vs 2.02.
  • The market prices Sogndal below the model: +8.0 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sogndal ↓ / Strommen → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 5% 2 6% 6% 3 6% 6% 4+ 9% 9% 6% 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 99%
2+ goals 96%
3+ goals 87%
No goals 1%

Sogndal and Strommen expected goals

Sogndal 2.93
Strommen 2.02

Total expected goals: 4.96

Sogndal and Strommen attack and defence ratings

Sogndal

Attack 1.19 +19%
Defence 1.16 +16%

Strommen

Attack 1.08 +8%
Defence 1.32 +32%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sogndal vs Strommen: result vs prediction

Sogndal 1 – 1 Strommen

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 22 fixtures

Norway 1. Division

Before and after this match

Sogndal vs Strommen markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sogndal 50.6% 1.98 +8.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 87.2% 1.15 — —
Both teams to score Yes 82.6% 1.21 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 78.2% 1.28 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 43.4% 2.30 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sogndal50.6%
Draw21.8%
Strommen27.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.587.2%
Under 2.512.8%
Both teams to scoreYes82.6%
No17.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)72.4%
12 (either side)78.2%
X2 (draw or away)49.4%
Handicap -1Sogndal win38.6%
Push (exactly one goal)17.9%
Loss43.4%
Correct score (top 3)2-26.2%
2-16.1%
3-26.1%

Sogndal vs Strommen stats

Sogndal and Strommen recent form

newest first
Sogndal LLDWWL
Strommen LWWWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Sogndal and Strommen going into this match

league record before kick-off

Sogndal record

  • They have won 6 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 21 matches.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Strommen record

  • They have won 7 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 21 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 21 matches.
  • 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sogndal vs Strommen head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

5Sogndal wins 2Draws 2Strommen wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-31StrommenSogndalNorway 1. Division2-3
2021-10-24StrommenSogndal1. Division0-2
2021-07-05SogndalStrommen1. Division1-1
2020-11-01StrommenSogndal1. Division1-1
2020-09-08SogndalStrommen1. Division3-0
2019-09-22StrommenSogndal1. Division2-0
2019-06-16SogndalStrommen1. Division4-2
2018-08-14StrommenSogndal1. Division1-0
2018-05-27SogndalStrommen1. Division5-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Sogndal vs Strommen odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 48.6%, draw 23.1%, away 28.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.91 4.10 3.26
Bet365 1.90 3.90 3.50
BetVictor 1.90 4.10 3.30
Betano 1.91 4.00 3.25
Betfair 1.90 4.00 3.10
Marathonbet 1.89 4.10 3.26
Pinnacle 1.90 4.51 3.30
SBO 1.94 3.46 2.91
Unibet 1.88 4.00 3.45
William Hill 1.95 3.60 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.90 —
X 4.00 ▲ +0.12
2 3.26 ▼ -0.16

13 snapshots recorded, from .