Norway 1. Division · Full time ·Matchday 23

Haugesund vs Strommen

4 – 2 Full time

2′C. Crestani
18′S. Diarra
33′S. Diarra
44′J. Norbye
46′I. CamaraE. Andersen
61′M. PaulsenT. Ogboji
61′J. KristengardM. Moldskred
71′A. NordG. Grobelnik
75′S. Nilsen
78′S. BeckM. Waehler
78′L. RemmemE. Rohd
82′N. Sandberg
85′T. Ogboji
88′B. LeiteA. Grindhaug
88′N. SandbergP. Hannola
90′E. Rohd
90′A. Bondhus

Haugesund Stadion, HaugesundReferee: H. Sletner

Haugesund 71%
Draw 16%
Strommen 12%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Haugesund vs Strommen overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Haugesund vs Strommen

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHaugesundDrawStrommen
Model80.5%10.9%8.6%
Market68.1%18.2%13.7%
Final71.2%16.4%12.4%
Edge+12.4%-7.2%-5.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Haugesund

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.85 vs 1.39.
  • Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Haugesund below the model: +12.4 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Haugesund ↓ / Strommen → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 2 3 4+ 13% 19% 13%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 99%
2+ goals 97%
3+ goals 89%
No goals 1%

Haugesund and Strommen expected goals

Haugesund 3.85
Strommen 1.39

Total expected goals: 5.24

Haugesund and Strommen attack and defence ratings

Haugesund

Attack 1.68 +68%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Strommen

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 1.23 +23%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Haugesund vs Strommen: result vs prediction

Haugesund 4 – 2 Strommen

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 23 fixtures

Norway 1. Division

Before and after this match

Haugesund vs Strommen markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Haugesund 71.2% 1.40 +12.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 89.4% 1.12 — —
Both teams to score Yes 73.7% 1.36 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 87.6% 1.14 — —
Handicap -1 Haugesund win 65.5% 1.53 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Haugesund71.2%
Draw16.4%
Strommen12.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.589.4%
Under 2.510.6%
Both teams to scoreYes73.7%
No26.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)87.6%
12 (either side)83.6%
X2 (draw or away)28.8%
Handicap -1Haugesund win65.5%
Push (exactly one goal)15.0%
Loss19.5%
Correct score (top 3)3-17.0%
4-16.8%
2-15.5%

Haugesund vs Strommen stats

Haugesund and Strommen recent form

newest first
Haugesund WWWWWW
Strommen DLWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Haugesund and Strommen going into this match

league record before kick-off

Haugesund record

  • They have won 16 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 3.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).

Strommen record

  • They have won 7 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 22 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Haugesund vs Strommen head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

2Haugesund wins 0Draws 0Strommen wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-20StrommenHaugesundNorway 1. Division0-7
2019-06-26HaugesundStrommenNM Cupen2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Haugesund vs Strommen odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 68.1%, draw 18.2%, away 13.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.34 5.35 6.81
Bet365 1.40 4.75 7.00
BetVictor 1.36 5.25 7.00
Betano 1.37 5.10 6.60
Betfair 1.33 5.00 6.00
Marathonbet 1.33 5.35 6.75
Pinnacle 1.36 5.79 6.81
SBO 1.36 4.77 5.42
William Hill 1.35 5.00 6.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.36 ▲ +0.11
X 5.10 ▼ -0.90
2 6.75 ▼ -1.30

9 snapshots recorded, from .