Norway 1. Division · Full time ·Matchday 23

Lyn vs Ranheim

1 – 4 Full time

20′A. Fossli
43′T. B. Haukeberg
47′M. Johnsen
65′T. Kongerud
67′M. Johnsen
71′J. NoisJ. Skaug
74′A. FossliE. Solberg
75′H. GangstadC. Aasbak
81′K. Rolstad
85′G. AsenL. Skammelsrud
86′K. RolstadF. Nyenetue
86′M. JohnsenM. Sylva
90′E. Race

Bislett Stadium, OsloReferee: M. Berg

Lyn 55%
Draw 21%
Ranheim 24%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Lyn vs Ranheim overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Lyn vs Ranheim

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLynDrawRanheim
Model62.7%16.3%21.0%
Market51.9%22.5%25.6%
Final54.6%20.9%24.5%
Edge+10.9%-6.3%-4.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Lyn

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.25 vs 1.97.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Lyn below the model: +10.9 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Lyn ↓ / Ranheim → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 2 6% 3 6% 6% 4+ 6% 11% 11% 7% 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 99%
2+ goals 97%
3+ goals 89%
No goals 1%

Lyn and Ranheim expected goals

Lyn 3.25
Ranheim 1.97

Total expected goals: 5.22

Lyn and Ranheim attack and defence ratings

Lyn

Attack 1.39 +39%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Ranheim

Attack 1.25 +25%
Defence 1.26 +26%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Lyn vs Ranheim: result vs prediction

Lyn 1 – 4 Ranheim

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 23 fixtures

Norway 1. Division

Before and after this match

Lyn vs Ranheim markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Lyn 54.6% 1.83 +10.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 89.3% 1.12 — —
Both teams to score Yes 83.1% 1.20 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 79.1% 1.26 — —
Handicap -1 Lyn win 45.2% 2.21 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Lyn54.6%
Draw20.9%
Ranheim24.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.589.3%
Under 2.510.7%
Both teams to scoreYes83.1%
No16.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.5%
12 (either side)79.1%
X2 (draw or away)45.4%
Handicap -1Lyn win45.2%
Push (exactly one goal)17.5%
Loss37.3%
Correct score (top 3)3-16.1%
3-26.0%
2-15.6%

Lyn vs Ranheim stats

Lyn and Ranheim recent form

newest first
Lyn WWDDWW
Ranheim WDDLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Lyn and Ranheim going into this match

league record before kick-off

Lyn record

  • They have won 8 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 22 matches.
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Ranheim record

  • They have won 7 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
  • They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
  • 48% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Lyn vs Ranheim head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

3Lyn wins 2Draws 1Ranheim wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-19RanheimLynNorway 1. Division3-2
2025-08-10LynRanheimNorway 1. Division2-1
2025-03-31RanheimLynNorway 1. Division0-3
2025-03-06LynRanheimFriendlies Clubs3-0
2024-10-06RanheimLyn1. Division1-1
2024-04-28LynRanheim1. Division1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Lyn vs Ranheim odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 51.9%, draw 22.5%, away 25.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.79 4.10 3.62
Bet365 1.80 4.00 3.60
BetVictor 1.73 4.33 3.75
Betano 1.78 4.25 3.55
Betfair 1.70 4.20 3.60
Marathonbet 1.77 4.10 3.62
Pinnacle 1.85 4.25 3.67
SBO 1.65 4.06 3.59
William Hill 1.80 3.80 3.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.78 ▲ +0.01
X 4.10 ▼ -0.10
2 3.60 ▲ +0.18

9 snapshots recorded, from .