Sandnes ULF
vs
Moss
1 – 2 Full time
| 23′ | Z. Nsoni | ||
| 41′ | A. Nyhagen | ||
| 46′ | N. AlexanderssonH. Vold Krohg | ||
| 64′ | A. JorgensenO. Bardarson | ||
| 64′ | M. NjieJ. Musbaudeen | ||
| 69′ | Y. de LanlayA. Bruseth | ||
| 75′ | N. Semmen | ||
| 77′ | N. Semmen | ||
| 79′ | N. Semmen | ||
| 83′ | L. OvergaardM. Njie | ||
| 85′ | M. SundbergJ. Aune | ||
| 85′ | O. SundgotA. Memed | ||
| 90′ | N. SemmenR. Hermanstad |
Sandnes ULF vs Moss overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sandnes ULF vs Moss
| Probability | Sandnes ULF | Draw | Moss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.3% | 21.7% | 30.0% |
| Market | 43.2% | 25.1% | 31.7% |
| Final | 44.5% | 24.3% | 31.2% |
| Edge | +5.1% | -3.4% | -1.7% |
Why Sandnes ULF
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.23 vs 1.75.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Sandnes ULF below the model: +5.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sandnes ULF and Moss expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.99
Sandnes ULF and Moss attack and defence ratings
Sandnes ULF
Moss
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sandnes ULF vs Moss: result vs prediction
Sandnes ULF 1 – 2 Moss
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 23 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sandnes ULF vs Moss markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sandnes ULF | 44.5% | 2.25 | +5.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.7% | 1.94 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sandnes ULF | 44.5% |
| Draw | 24.3% | |
| Moss | 31.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 24.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.5% |
| No | 25.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sandnes ULF win | 29.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.9% | |
| Loss | 51.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.1% |
| 1-1 | 8.0% | |
| 2-2 | 7.1% |
Sandnes ULF vs Moss stats
Sandnes ULF and Moss recent form
| WLDWWL | |
| LWLDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sandnes ULF and Moss going into this match
Sandnes ULF record
- They have won 7 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 22 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Moss record
- They have won 6 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sandnes ULF vs Moss head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | Moss | Sandnes ULF | Norway 1. Division | 1-4 |
| 2024-09-25 | Moss | Sandnes ULF | 1. Division | 6-1 |
| 2024-05-04 | Sandnes ULF | Moss | 1. Division | 3-3 |
| 2023-08-13 | Sandnes ULF | Moss | 1. Division | 2-0 |
| 2023-05-07 | Moss | Sandnes ULF | 1. Division | 1-0 |
| 2021-09-22 | Moss | Sandnes ULF | NM Cupen | 1-7 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sandnes ULF vs Moss odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.2%, draw 25.1%, away 31.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.14 | 3.68 | 2.94 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.70 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.80 | 2.88 |
| Betano | 2.15 | 3.65 | 2.92 |
| Betfair | 2.05 | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.12 | 3.68 | 2.92 |
| Pinnacle | 2.19 | 3.82 | 3.02 |
| SBO | 2.05 | 3.53 | 2.78 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.40 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .