Norway 1. Division · Full time ·Matchday 23

Sandnes ULF vs Moss

1 – 2 Full time

23′Z. Nsoni
41′A. Nyhagen
46′N. AlexanderssonH. Vold Krohg
64′A. JorgensenO. Bardarson
64′M. NjieJ. Musbaudeen
69′Y. de LanlayA. Bruseth
75′N. Semmen
77′N. Semmen
79′N. Semmen
83′L. OvergaardM. Njie
85′M. SundbergJ. Aune
85′O. SundgotA. Memed
90′N. SemmenR. Hermanstad

Referee: J. W. Grundt

Sandnes ULF 44%
Draw 24%
Moss 31%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Sandnes ULF vs Moss overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sandnes ULF vs Moss

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySandnes ULFDrawMoss
Model48.3%21.7%30.0%
Market43.2%25.1%31.7%
Final44.5%24.3%31.2%
Edge+5.1%-3.4%-1.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Sandnes ULF

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.23 vs 1.75.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Sandnes ULF below the model: +5.1 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sandnes ULF ↓ / Moss → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 6% 2 5% 8% 7% 4% 3 6% 5% 4+ 6% 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 91%
3+ goals 76%
No goals 3%

Sandnes ULF and Moss expected goals

Sandnes ULF 2.23
Moss 1.75

Total expected goals: 3.99

Sandnes ULF and Moss attack and defence ratings

Sandnes ULF

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 1.08 +8%

Moss

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 1.27 +27%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sandnes ULF vs Moss: result vs prediction

Sandnes ULF 1 – 2 Moss

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 23 fixtures

Norway 1. Division

Before and after this match

Sandnes ULF vs Moss markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sandnes ULF 44.5% 2.25 +5.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 76.0% 1.32 — —
Both teams to score Yes 74.5% 1.34 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.7% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 51.7% 1.94 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sandnes ULF44.5%
Draw24.3%
Moss31.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.576.0%
Under 2.524.0%
Both teams to scoreYes74.5%
No25.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.8%
12 (either side)75.7%
X2 (draw or away)55.5%
Handicap -1Sandnes ULF win29.4%
Push (exactly one goal)18.9%
Loss51.7%
Correct score (top 3)2-18.1%
1-18.0%
2-27.1%

Sandnes ULF vs Moss stats

Sandnes ULF and Moss recent form

newest first
Sandnes ULF WLDWWL
Moss LWLDWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Sandnes ULF and Moss going into this match

league record before kick-off

Sandnes ULF record

  • They have won 7 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 22 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Moss record

  • They have won 6 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sandnes ULF vs Moss head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

3Sandnes ULF wins 1Draws 2Moss wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-21MossSandnes ULFNorway 1. Division1-4
2024-09-25MossSandnes ULF1. Division6-1
2024-05-04Sandnes ULFMoss1. Division3-3
2023-08-13Sandnes ULFMoss1. Division2-0
2023-05-07MossSandnes ULF1. Division1-0
2021-09-22MossSandnes ULFNM Cupen1-7

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Sandnes ULF vs Moss odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.2%, draw 25.1%, away 31.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.14 3.68 2.94
Bet365 2.20 3.70 3.00
BetVictor 2.15 3.80 2.88
Betano 2.15 3.65 2.92
Betfair 2.05 3.80 2.80
Marathonbet 2.12 3.68 2.92
Pinnacle 2.19 3.82 3.02
SBO 2.05 3.53 2.78
William Hill 2.10 3.40 2.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.14 ▲ +0.03
X 3.68 ▲ +0.02
2 2.92 ▲ +0.02

9 snapshots recorded, from .