NM Cupen
·
Full time
·Round of 64
Grorud
vs
Moss
1 – 1 Full time
| 19′ | J. Rasen | ||
| 53′ | N. Semmen | ||
| 120′ | O. Aga | ||
| 120′ | M. Jatta | ||
| 120′ | N. Alexandersson | ||
| 120′ | W. Silfver-Ramage | ||
| 120′ | M. Eriksen | ||
| 120′ | S. A. Marcello Silalahi | ||
| 120′ | P. Andersen | ||
| 120′ | W. Bjeglerud | ||
| 120′ | T. Usman | ||
| 120′ | J. Rasen | ||
| 120′ | T. Mrakovic |
Grorud
26%
Draw
23%
Moss
50%
Grorud vs Moss overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Grorud vs Moss
| Probability | Grorud | Draw | Moss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 18.2% | 21.2% | 60.6% |
| Market | 29.1% | 24.1% | 46.8% |
| Final | 26.4% | 23.4% | 50.3% |
| Edge | -10.9% | -2.9% | +13.7% |
Why Moss
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.26 vs 1.19.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Moss below the model: +13.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
87%
3+ goals
67%
No goals
4%
Grorud and Moss expected goals
Grorud
1.19
Moss
2.26
Total expected goals: 3.44
Grorud and Moss attack and defence ratings
Grorud
Attack
0.88 -12%
Defence
0.84 -16%
Moss
Attack
0.83 -17%
Defence
0.95 -5%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Grorud vs Moss: result vs prediction
Grorud 1 – 1 Moss
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 64 fixtures
Before and after this match
Grorud vs Moss markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Moss | 50.3% | 1.99 | +13.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.9% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.1% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.6% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 39.4% | 2.54 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Grorud | 26.4% |
| Draw | 23.4% | |
| Moss | 50.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.1% |
| No | 36.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 49.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 73.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Moss win | 39.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.4% | |
| Loss | 39.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 9.7% |
| 1-1 | 9.4% | |
| 0-2 | 8.1% |
Grorud vs Moss stats
Grorud vs Moss head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
0Grorud wins
0Draws
3Moss wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-02-10 | Grorud | Moss | Friendlies Clubs | 1-2 |
| 2024-02-10 | Moss | Grorud | Friendlies Clubs | 2-1 |
| 2023-04-02 | Moss | Grorud | Friendlies Clubs | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Grorud vs Moss odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 29.1%, draw 24.1%, away 46.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.22 | 3.80 | 1.98 |
| Bet365 | 3.30 | 3.50 | 1.90 |
| BetVictor | 3.00 | 4.10 | 2.00 |
| Betano | 3.50 | 3.85 | 1.83 |
| Betfair | 2.90 | 4.00 | 1.91 |
| Marathonbet | 3.20 | 3.80 | 1.96 |
| Pinnacle | 2.82 | 3.69 | 2.00 |
| William Hill | 3.10 | 3.60 | 1.95 |