Asker
vs
Stromsgodset
1 – 4 Full time
| 27′ | E. Ingebrethsen | ||
| 30′ | F. P. Vilaseca Ardraa | ||
| 38′ | M. Mehnert | ||
| 47′ | R. Fazi | ||
| 74′ | E. Hejer |
Asker vs Stromsgodset overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Asker vs Stromsgodset
| Probability | Asker | Draw | Stromsgodset |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 11.0% | 15.0% | 74.1% |
| Market | 10.8% | 15.9% | 73.3% |
| Final | 10.8% | 15.7% | 73.5% |
| Edge | +0.2% | -1.0% | +0.8% |
Why Stromsgodset
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.99 vs 1.19.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Asker and Stromsgodset expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.19
Asker and Stromsgodset attack and defence ratings
Asker
Stromsgodset
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Asker vs Stromsgodset: result vs prediction
Asker 1 – 4 Stromsgodset
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 64 fixtures
Before and after this match
Asker vs Stromsgodset markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stromsgodset | 73.5% | 1.36 | +0.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 89.2% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Stromsgodset win | 54.5% | 1.84 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Asker | 10.8% |
| Draw | 15.7% | |
| Stromsgodset | 73.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 78.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 21.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.1% |
| No | 33.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 26.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 84.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 89.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Stromsgodset win | 54.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.7% | |
| Loss | 26.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-3 | 8.1% |
| 1-2 | 8.1% | |
| 0-3 | 7.0% |
Asker vs Stromsgodset stats
Asker and Stromsgodset recent form
| Asker |
WLW |
| Stromsgodset |
DWWWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.
Asker vs Stromsgodset head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Asker vs Stromsgodset odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 10.8%, draw 15.9%, away 73.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 10.60 | 6.00 | 1.20 |
| 1xBet | 8.05 | 5.75 | 1.29 |
| 888Sport | 8.00 | 5.00 | 1.25 |
| Bet365 | 9.00 | 5.75 | 1.27 |
| BetVictor | 8.50 | 6.00 | 1.25 |
| Betano | 6.40 | 5.00 | 1.37 |
| Betfair | 8.50 | 5.50 | 1.22 |
| Dafabet | 8.60 | 5.80 | 1.28 |
| Marathonbet | 8.50 | 5.95 | 1.26 |
| Pinnacle | 6.60 | 5.83 | 1.24 |
| Superbet | 7.90 | 5.60 | 1.26 |
| Unibet | 9.00 | 5.80 | 1.21 |
| William Hill | 7.50 | 5.00 | 1.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .