NM Cupen
·
Full time
·Round of 64
Elverum
vs
Raufoss
0 – 3 Full time
| 6′ | N. Fremstad | ||
| 55′ | J. Dalen Korsaksel | ||
| 57′ | E. Asvestad |
Elverum
24%
Draw
21%
Raufoss
55%
Elverum vs Raufoss overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Elverum vs Raufoss
| Probability | Elverum | Draw | Raufoss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.2% | 18.3% | 48.5% |
| Market | 21.3% | 21.4% | 57.2% |
| Final | 24.3% | 20.6% | 55.1% |
| Edge | +11.8% | -3.1% | -8.7% |
Why Raufoss
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.85 vs 2.41.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
99%
2+ goals
97%
3+ goals
90%
No goals
1%
Elverum and Raufoss expected goals
Elverum
2.41
Raufoss
2.85
Total expected goals: 5.25
Elverum and Raufoss attack and defence ratings
Elverum
Attack
1.32 +32%
Defence
1.25 +25%
Raufoss
Attack
0.69 -31%
Defence
1.22 +22%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Elverum vs Raufoss: result vs prediction
Elverum 0 – 3 Raufoss
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Round of 64 fixtures
Before and after this match
Elverum vs Raufoss markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Raufoss | 55.1% | 1.82 | -8.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 89.5% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 86.0% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 79.4% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.7% | 1.94 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Elverum | 24.3% |
| Draw | 20.6% | |
| Raufoss | 55.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 89.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 10.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 86.0% |
| No | 14.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 44.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 75.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Raufoss win | 31.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.8% | |
| Loss | 51.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-2 | 6.1% |
| 2-3 | 5.8% | |
| 1-2 | 5.1% |
Elverum vs Raufoss stats
Elverum vs Raufoss head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
0Elverum wins
0Draws
2Raufoss wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | Raufoss | Elverum | Friendlies Clubs | 4-0 |
| 2023-01-13 | Raufoss | Elverum | Friendlies Clubs | 7-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Elverum vs Raufoss odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 21.3%, draw 21.4%, away 57.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.38 | 4.30 | 1.62 |
| Bet365 | 4.20 | 4.20 | 1.57 |
| BetVictor | 4.33 | 4.50 | 1.60 |
| Betano | 4.25 | 4.25 | 1.62 |
| Betfair | 4.33 | 4.40 | 1.55 |
| Marathonbet | 4.40 | 4.30 | 1.60 |
| Pinnacle | 3.88 | 4.12 | 1.60 |
| William Hill | 4.20 | 4.00 | 1.62 |