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NM Cupen · Full time ·Round of 64

Alta vs Tromso

1 – 2 Full time

11′K. Holsbo
35′H. Larsen
88′V. Erlien
Alta 13%
Draw 17%
Tromso 70%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Alta vs Tromso overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Alta vs Tromso

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAltaDrawTromso
Model13.1%16.6%70.3%
Market———
Final13.1%16.6%70.3%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Tromso

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.82 vs 1.22.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Alta ↓ / Tromso → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 7% 9% 1 7% 9% 8% 11% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 92%
3+ goals 77%
No goals 2%

Alta and Tromso expected goals

Alta 1.22
Tromso 2.82

Total expected goals: 4.04

Alta and Tromso attack and defence ratings

Alta

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Tromso

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 0.81 -19%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Alta vs Tromso: result vs prediction

Alta 1 – 2 Tromso

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 64 fixtures

NM Cupen

Before and after this match

Alta vs Tromso markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Tromso 70.3% 1.42 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 76.8% 1.30 — —
Both teams to score Yes 66.7% 1.50 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 86.9% 1.15 — —
Handicap -1 Tromso win 50.7% 1.97 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Alta13.1%
Draw16.6%
Tromso70.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.576.8%
Under 2.523.2%
Both teams to scoreYes66.7%
No33.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)29.7%
12 (either side)83.4%
X2 (draw or away)86.9%
Handicap -1Tromso win50.7%
Push (exactly one goal)19.5%
Loss29.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-28.5%
1-38.0%
0-27.0%

Alta vs Tromso stats

Alta and Tromso recent form

newest first
Alta WL
Tromso LLDLWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.

Alta vs Tromso head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Alta wins 0Draws 1Tromso wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2023-06-07AltaTromsoNM Cupen0-1
2021-08-01AltaTromsoNM Cupen3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Alta vs Tromso odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.