Tromso
vs
Ham-Kam
3 – 2 Full time
| 41′ | Mohamed Ofkir | ||
| 44′ | Morten Bjorlo | ||
| 45′ | Mohamed OfkirHenrik Udahl | ||
| 60′ | Heine Asen Larsen | ||
| 60′ | Fredrik SjolstadHalvor Rodolen Opsahl | ||
| 60′ | David BenjaminDanilo Al-Saed | ||
| 68′ | Heine Asen LarsenVegard Erlien | ||
| 75′ | Markus JohnsgardLoris Mettler | ||
| 77′ | Snorre Strand Nilsen | ||
| 83′ | Morten BjorloJesper Andreas Grundt | ||
| 85′ | Vegard Erlien | ||
| 87′ | Vetle Skjaervik | ||
| 90′ | Troy Engseth NyhammerNicolai Arun Jacobsen |
Match stats
| 18 | Shots | 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 66 | Possession % | 34 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 8 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Offsides | 3 |
| 1 | Saves | 8 |
| 637 | Accurate passes | 276 |
Tromso vs Ham-Kam overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Tromso vs Ham-Kam
| Probability | Tromso | Draw | Ham-Kam |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 62.7% | 19.0% | 18.4% |
| Market | 64.9% | 20.3% | 14.8% |
| Final | 64.3% | 20.0% | 15.7% |
| Edge | -2.2% | -1.3% | +3.5% |
Why Tromso
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.60 vs 1.40.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Tromso and Ham-Kam expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.01
Tromso and Ham-Kam attack and defence ratings
Tromso
Ham-Kam
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Tromso vs Ham-Kam: result vs prediction
Tromso 3 – 2 Ham-Kam
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 22 fixtures
Before and after this match
Tromso vs Ham-Kam markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tromso | 64.3% | 1.55 | -2.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.3% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Tromso win | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tromso | 64.3% |
| Draw | 20.0% | |
| Ham-Kam | 15.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 23.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.4% |
| No | 29.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 35.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Tromso win | 42.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.9% | |
| Loss | 37.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.7% |
| 3-1 | 7.5% | |
| 1-1 | 7.3% |
Tromso vs Ham-Kam stats
Tromso and Ham-Kam recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Tromso and Ham-Kam going into this match
Tromso record
- They have won 10 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 20 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 20 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Ham-Kam record
- They have won 6 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 20 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 20 matches.
Tromso vs Ham-Kam head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Ham-Kam | Tromso | Eliteserien | 1-4 |
| 2025-09-21 | Tromso | Ham-Kam | Eliteserien | 1-0 |
| 2025-06-22 | Ham-Kam | Tromso | Eliteserien | 1-3 |
| 2025-03-22 | Tromso | Ham-Kam | Friendlies Clubs | 2-0 |
| 2024-11-03 | Tromso | Ham-Kam | Eliteserien | 3-3 |
| 2024-07-07 | Ham-Kam | Tromso | Eliteserien | 0-0 |
| 2024-03-23 | Tromso | Ham-Kam | Friendlies Clubs | 0-1 |
| 2023-09-17 | Tromso | Ham-Kam | Eliteserien | 2-1 |
| 2023-05-13 | Ham-Kam | Tromso | Eliteserien | 1-2 |
| 2023-04-02 | Tromso | Ham-Kam | Friendlies Clubs | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Tromso vs Ham-Kam odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 64.9%, draw 20.3%, away 14.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.47 | 4.72 | 6.47 |
| Bet365 | 1.44 | 4.75 | 6.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 4.40 | 6.50 |
| Betano | 1.47 | 4.50 | 6.00 |
| Betfair | 1.40 | 4.75 | 6.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.43 | 4.60 | 6.30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.48 | 4.91 | 6.43 |
| SBO | 1.40 | 4.35 | 6.09 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 4.40 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .