Start
vs
Ham-Kam
Garuda Lions Prediction: Start
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Start vs Ham-Kam overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Start vs Ham-Kam
| Probability | Start | Draw | Ham-Kam |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 62.1% | 19.3% | 18.6% |
| Market | 48.6% | 25.3% | 26.1% |
| Final | 51.9% | 23.8% | 24.3% |
| Edge | +13.5% | -6.0% | -7.5% |
Why Start
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.55 vs 1.39.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Start below the model: +13.5 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 1.99, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Start vs Ham-Kam match preview
Start faces Ham-Kam in the Eliteserien with a kickoff set for October 11, 2026. The model indicates a 49% probability of a Start victory, while Ham-Kam has a 26% chance of winning, and a draw stands at 24%. The expected goals suggest Start may dominate offensively with 2.11 expected goals compared to Ham-Kam's 1.53. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-1 in favor of Start, occurring at a 9% probability.
In terms of recent form, Start has recorded two wins in their last six matches, while Ham-Kam's recent performance shows two wins in their last six. Notably, in their last head-to-head encounter, Ham-Kam emerged victorious, with Start yet to secure a win against them. Both teams have a 70% probability of scoring and of the match exceeding 2.5 goals.
Start and Ham-Kam team news
Start news
- F. Lien — foot injury
- F. Manojlovic — hand injury
- J. Husebo — foot injury
- K. Tonnesen — leg injury
- O. Toure — suspended
Ham-Kam news
- A. Potur — heel injury
- A. Trondsen — injury
- M. Johnsgard — knee injury
- M. Ofkir — injury
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Start and Ham-Kam expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.94
Start and Ham-Kam attack and defence ratings
Start
Ham-Kam
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 23 fixtures
Before and after this match
Start vs Ham-Kam markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Start | 51.9% | 1.93 | +13.5% | 1.99 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Start win | 41.9% | 2.39 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Start | 51.9% |
| Draw | 23.8% | |
| Ham-Kam | 24.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 24.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.9% |
| No | 30.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Start win | 41.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.1% | |
| Loss | 38.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.8% |
| 1-1 | 7.6% | |
| 3-1 | 7.5% |
Start vs Ham-Kam stats
Start and Ham-Kam recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Start and Ham-Kam season so far
Start record
- They have won 4 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 20 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ham-Kam record
- They have won 6 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 20 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 20 matches.
Start vs Ham-Kam head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Ham-Kam | Start | Eliteserien | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Start vs Ham-Kam odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.6%, draw 25.3%, away 26.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.92 | 3.84 | 3.76 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| BetVictor | 1.90 | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| Betano | 1.93 | 3.65 | 3.60 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.80 | 3.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.99 | 3.75 | 3.55 |
| Marathonbet | 1.87 | 3.74 | 3.66 |
| Pinnacle | 1.94 | 3.88 | 3.60 |
| SBO | 1.94 | 3.23 | 3.09 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.50 | 3.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .