Start
vs
Ham-Kam
2 – 4 Full time
| 36′ | Luc Mares | ||
| 43′ | John Olav Norheim | ||
| 53′ | Loris Mettler | ||
| 61′ | Hakon LorentzenNikolaos Koutsakos | ||
| 62′ | Mikael UglandEirik Schulze | ||
| 69′ | Danilo Al-SaedDavid Benjamin | ||
| 69′ | Fredrik SjolstadAksel Baran Potur | ||
| 73′ | Duarte MoreiraMohamed Ofkir | ||
| 74′ | Mohamed Ofkir | ||
| 75′ | Erlend Dahl Reitannikola jojic | ||
| 75′ | Altin UjkaniFredrik Palerud | ||
| 82′ | João Paulo Rodrigues BarrosEthan Amundsen-Day | ||
| 84′ | Steve MvoueMarius Nordal | ||
| 90′ | Mohamed Ofkir | ||
| 90′ | Erlend Segberg |
Match stats
| 23 | Shots | 17 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 57 | Possession % | 43 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Saves | 3 |
| 434 | Accurate passes | 330 |
Start vs Ham-Kam overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Start vs Ham-Kam
| Probability | Start | Draw | Ham-Kam |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 62.0% | 19.3% | 18.7% |
| Market | 48.8% | 25.1% | 26.1% |
| Final | 52.1% | 23.6% | 24.2% |
| Edge | +3.3% | -1.4% | -1.9% |
Why Start
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.56 vs 1.39.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Start below our published probability: +3.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Start and Ham-Kam expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.95
Start and Ham-Kam attack and defence ratings
Start
Ham-Kam
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Start vs Ham-Kam: result vs prediction
Start 2 – 4 Ham-Kam
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 23 fixtures
Before and after this match
Start vs Ham-Kam markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Start | 52.1% | 1.92 | +3.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Start win | 41.9% | 2.38 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Start | 52.1% |
| Draw | 23.6% | |
| Ham-Kam | 24.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 24.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.9% |
| No | 30.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Start win | 41.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.1% | |
| Loss | 38.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.8% |
| 1-1 | 7.6% | |
| 3-1 | 7.5% |
Start vs Ham-Kam stats
Start and Ham-Kam recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Start and Ham-Kam going into this match
Start record
- They have won 4 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 21 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ham-Kam record
- They have won 6 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 21 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Start vs Ham-Kam head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Ham-Kam | Start | Eliteserien | 2-1 |
| 2023-02-20 | Start | Ham-Kam | Friendlies Clubs | 2-1 |
| 2023-02-20 | Ham-Kam | Start | Friendlies Clubs | 1-2 |
| 2021-08-29 | Ham-Kam | Start | 1. Division | 3-2 |
| 2021-07-05 | Start | Ham-Kam | 1. Division | 1-4 |
| 2019-09-22 | Ham-Kam | Start | 1. Division | 4-0 |
| 2019-07-21 | Start | Ham-Kam | 1. Division | 4-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Start vs Ham-Kam odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.8%, draw 25.1%, away 26.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.92 | 3.84 | 3.76 |
| Bet365 | 1.91 | 3.70 | 3.70 |
| BetVictor | 1.91 | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| Betano | 1.91 | 3.70 | 3.60 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.80 | 3.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.99 | 3.75 | 3.55 |
| Marathonbet | 1.87 | 3.74 | 3.66 |
| Pinnacle | 1.98 | 3.91 | 3.67 |
| SBO | 1.94 | 3.23 | 3.09 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.60 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
17 snapshots recorded, from .