Bodo/Glimt
vs
Kristiansund BK
Garuda Lions Prediction: Bodo/Glimt
3 – 1 Predicted score · 7% model probability
Bodo/Glimt vs Kristiansund BK overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bodo/Glimt vs Kristiansund BK
| Probability | Bodo/Glimt | Draw | Kristiansund BK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 80.0% | 11.2% | 8.8% |
| Market | 88.4% | 7.2% | 4.3% |
| Final | 86.3% | 8.2% | 5.5% |
| Edge | -8.5% | +4.0% | +4.5% |
Why Bodo/Glimt
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.79 vs 1.38.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.09, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Bodo/Glimt vs Kristiansund BK match preview
Bodo/Glimt enters this match against Kristiansund BK with a strong probability of winning at 86%, while Kristiansund BK stands at just 5%. The expected goals for Bodo/Glimt are significantly higher at 3.80 compared to Kristiansund BK's 1.38, suggesting a dominant offensive performance is anticipated. Recent form shows Bodo/Glimt with three wins in their last six matches, while Kristiansund BK has also shown resilience with three wins in their last six.
Historically, Bodo/Glimt has performed well against Kristiansund BK, winning two of their last three encounters and drawing the other. The most likely scoreline for this match is predicted to be 3-1, with an 89% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 73% likelihood of both teams scoring. The confidence grade for this analysis is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty based on the blended probabilities.
Bodo/Glimt and Kristiansund BK team news
Bodo/Glimt news
- A. Mikkelsen — groin injury
- H. Evjen — knee injury
- I. Sjong — injury
- M. Riisnaes — knee injury
Kristiansund BK news
- I. H. Aalberg — groin injury
- S. Svendsen — injury
- Z. Bytyqi — groin injury
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bodo/Glimt and Kristiansund BK expected goals
Total expected goals: 5.18
Bodo/Glimt and Kristiansund BK attack and defence ratings
Bodo/Glimt
Kristiansund BK
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 23 fixtures
Before and after this match
Bodo/Glimt vs Kristiansund BK markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bodo/Glimt | 86.3% | 1.16 | -8.5% | 1.09 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 88.9% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 94.5% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Bodo/Glimt win | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bodo/Glimt | 86.3% |
| Draw | 8.2% | |
| Kristiansund BK | 5.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 88.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 11.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.5% |
| No | 26.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 94.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 91.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 13.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bodo/Glimt win | 64.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.2% | |
| Loss | 20.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 3-1 | 7.1% |
| 4-1 | 6.8% | |
| 2-1 | 5.6% |
Bodo/Glimt vs Kristiansund BK stats
Bodo/Glimt and Kristiansund BK recent form
| Bodo/Glimt |
WLWLWW |
| Kristiansund BK |
LWLWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bodo/Glimt and Kristiansund BK season so far
Bodo/Glimt record
- They have won 16 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- They average 3.1 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 9 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kristiansund BK record
- They have won 5 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 21 matches.
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Bodo/Glimt vs Kristiansund BK head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | Kristiansund BK | Bodo/Glimt | Eliteserien | 0-3 |
| 2025-09-12 | Bodo/Glimt | Kristiansund BK | Eliteserien | 7-1 |
| 2025-07-05 | Kristiansund BK | Bodo/Glimt | Eliteserien | 1-1 |
| 2024-09-29 | Bodo/Glimt | Kristiansund BK | Eliteserien | 4-0 |
| 2024-05-12 | Kristiansund BK | Bodo/Glimt | Eliteserien | 2-4 |
| 2022-10-23 | Bodo/Glimt | Kristiansund BK | Eliteserien | 5-0 |
| 2022-06-18 | Kristiansund BK | Bodo/Glimt | Eliteserien | 0-2 |
| 2021-08-22 | Bodo/Glimt | Kristiansund BK | Eliteserien | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Bodo/Glimt vs Kristiansund BK odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 88.4%, draw 7.2%, away 4.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.04 | 17.50 | 30.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.07 | 12.00 | 21.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.06 | 10.00 | 19.00 |
| Betano | 1.09 | 10.00 | 19.00 |
| Betfair | 1.06 | 13.00 | 26.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.08 | 13.00 | 22.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.04 | 14.00 | 24.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.06 | 16.01 | 21.16 |
| SBO | 1.07 | 8.87 | 12.04 |
| William Hill | 1.06 | 13.00 | 26.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .