NM Cupen · Full time ·Round of 64

Rana vs Bodo/Glimt

2 – 6 Full time

15′B. Froysa
25′N. Aas
40′S. Fet
45′J. Thuv
50′J. Mvuka Mugisha
57′J. Kitolano
67′J. Mvuka Mugisha
84′O. Brynhildsen
Rana 8%
Draw 12%
Bodo/Glimt 80%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Rana vs Bodo/Glimt overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Rana vs Bodo/Glimt

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRanaDrawBodo/Glimt
Model7.7%11.9%80.4%
Market———
Final7.7%11.9%80.4%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Bodo/Glimt

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.42 vs 1.10.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Rana ↓ / Bodo/Glimt → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 15% 1 16% 2 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 94%
3+ goals 83%
No goals 2%

Rana and Bodo/Glimt expected goals

Rana 1.10
Bodo/Glimt 3.42

Total expected goals: 4.52

Rana and Bodo/Glimt attack and defence ratings

Rana

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Bodo/Glimt

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 0.77 -23%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Rana vs Bodo/Glimt: result vs prediction

Rana 2 – 6 Bodo/Glimt

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 64 fixtures

NM Cupen

Before and after this match

Rana vs Bodo/Glimt markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Bodo/Glimt 80.4% 1.24 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 82.8% 1.21 — —
Both teams to score Yes 64.9% 1.54 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 92.3% 1.08 — —
Handicap -1 Bodo/Glimt win 63.9% 1.56 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Rana7.7%
Draw11.9%
Bodo/Glimt80.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.582.8%
Under 2.517.2%
Both teams to scoreYes64.9%
No35.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)19.6%
12 (either side)88.1%
X2 (draw or away)92.3%
Handicap -1Bodo/Glimt win63.9%
Push (exactly one goal)16.4%
Loss19.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-38.0%
0-37.3%
1-27.0%

Rana vs Bodo/Glimt stats

Rana and Bodo/Glimt recent form

newest first
Rana WWL
Bodo/Glimt LWLWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.

Rana vs Bodo/Glimt head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Rana wins 0Draws 2Bodo/Glimt wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2022-05-19RanaBodo/GlimtNM Cupen0-4
2021-07-25RanaBodo/GlimtNM Cupen1-4

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Rana vs Bodo/Glimt odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.