Eliteserien
·
Full time
·Matchday 22
Kristiansund BK
vs
Rosenborg
1 – 3 Full time
| 31′ | David Tufekcic | ||
| 33′ | Mads Bomholt | ||
| 39′ | Dan Peter Ulvestad | ||
| 45′ | David TufekcicTobias Hammer Svendsen | ||
| 50′ | Noah Sahsah | ||
| 59′ | Simen Bolkan NordliMathias Ullereng Kjolo | ||
| 59′ | Aslak Fonn WitryJonas Svensson | ||
| 69′ | Dan Peter UlvestadMax Normann Williamsen | ||
| 69′ | Heine Gikling BrusethSyver Skeide | ||
| 77′ | Noah SahsahJonas Sogaard Mortensen | ||
| 78′ | Gustav Ørsøe ChristensenAdrian Kurd Rønning | ||
| 78′ | Wilfred George IgorAnders Ronne Borset | ||
| 83′ | Amin Chiakha | ||
| 90′ | Emil Konradsen CeideDavid Duris |
Kristiansund BK
16%
Draw
19%
Rosenborg
64%
Match stats
| 15 | Shots | 16 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 8 |
| 44 | Possession % | 56 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Offsides | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 5 |
| 264 | Accurate passes | 363 |
Kristiansund BK vs Rosenborg overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kristiansund BK vs Rosenborg
| Probability | Kristiansund BK | Draw | Rosenborg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 16.6% | 16.3% | 67.0% |
| Market | 16.4% | 20.1% | 63.5% |
| Final | 16.5% | 19.2% | 64.4% |
| Edge | +0.2% | -3.8% | +3.6% |
Why Rosenborg
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.07 vs 1.57.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices Rosenborg below the model: +3.6 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
99%
2+ goals
95%
3+ goals
84%
No goals
1%
Kristiansund BK and Rosenborg expected goals
Kristiansund BK
1.57
Rosenborg
3.07
Total expected goals: 4.64
Kristiansund BK and Rosenborg attack and defence ratings
Kristiansund BK
Attack
0.99 -1%
Defence
1.18 +18%
Rosenborg
Attack
1.91 +91%
Defence
0.88 -12%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Kristiansund BK vs Rosenborg: result vs prediction
Kristiansund BK 1 – 3 Rosenborg
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 22 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kristiansund BK vs Rosenborg markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rosenborg | 64.4% | 1.55 | +3.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 84.2% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76.1% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 83.5% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Rosenborg win | 48.7% | 2.05 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kristiansund BK | 16.5% |
| Draw | 19.2% | |
| Rosenborg | 64.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 84.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 15.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76.1% |
| No | 23.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 35.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 83.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Rosenborg win | 48.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.4% | |
| Loss | 33.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-3 | 7.3% |
| 1-2 | 7.1% | |
| 2-3 | 5.7% |
Kristiansund BK vs Rosenborg stats
Kristiansund BK and Rosenborg recent form
| Kristiansund BK |
WLWDWL |
| Rosenborg |
WWWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kristiansund BK and Rosenborg going into this match
Kristiansund BK record
- They have won 5 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 20 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 20 matches.
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Rosenborg record
- They have won 9 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 20 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 20 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Kristiansund BK vs Rosenborg head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
2Kristiansund BK wins
3Draws
5Rosenborg wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Rosenborg | Kristiansund BK | Eliteserien | 3-0 |
| 2025-06-22 | Kristiansund BK | Rosenborg | Eliteserien | 4-1 |
| 2025-05-01 | Rosenborg | Kristiansund BK | Eliteserien | 1-1 |
| 2024-12-01 | Kristiansund BK | Rosenborg | Eliteserien | 0-4 |
| 2024-05-26 | Rosenborg | Kristiansund BK | Eliteserien | 2-1 |
| 2024-03-14 | Rosenborg | Kristiansund BK | Friendlies Clubs | 2-2 |
| 2023-02-25 | Rosenborg | Kristiansund BK | Friendlies Clubs | 3-2 |
| 2022-10-02 | Kristiansund BK | Rosenborg | Eliteserien | 4-4 |
| 2022-06-25 | Rosenborg | Kristiansund BK | Eliteserien | 3-1 |
| 2021-10-03 | Kristiansund BK | Rosenborg | Eliteserien | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Kristiansund BK vs Rosenborg odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 16.4%, draw 20.1%, away 63.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.79 | 4.82 | 1.50 |
| Bet365 | 6.00 | 4.50 | 1.48 |
| BetVictor | 5.50 | 4.50 | 1.44 |
| Betano | 5.40 | 4.60 | 1.50 |
| Betfair | 6.00 | 4.75 | 1.44 |
| Marathonbet | 5.65 | 4.70 | 1.46 |
| Pinnacle | 5.71 | 5.15 | 1.50 |
| SBO | 4.84 | 4.05 | 1.44 |
| William Hill | 5.50 | 4.60 | 1.44 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
5.65 ▲ +1.57
X
4.60 ▲ +0.57
2
1.46 ▼ -0.35
13 snapshots recorded, from .