Eliteserien
·
Full time
·Matchday 22
Sarpsborg 08 FF
vs
KFUM Oslo
1 – 3 Full time
| 24′ | Bjorn Martin Kristensen | ||
| 34′ | Bjorn Utvik | ||
| 42′ | Bjorn Martin Kristensen | ||
| 45′ | Daniel Seland Karlsbakk | ||
| 45′ | Hakon Helland Hoseth | ||
| 45′ | Claus Babo NiyukuriEirik Wichne | ||
| 45′ | Victor Emanuel HalvorsenNoa Williams | ||
| 45′ | Anders HiimPeter Reinhardsen | ||
| 47′ | Martin Tangen Vinjor | ||
| 56′ | Jonas Lange HjorthSander Hansen Sjokvist | ||
| 57′ | Martin Tangen VinjorDavid Hickson Gyedu | ||
| 68′ | Olaus Jair SkarsemAndreas Hansen | ||
| 73′ | Bjorn Martin KristensenJulian Bakkeli Gonstad | ||
| 73′ | Hakon RostenBrage Tobiassen | ||
| 73′ | Julian Bakkeli Gonstad | ||
| 74′ | Aimar SherSigurd Rosted | ||
| 85′ | Bilal NjieAmin Nouri |
Sarpsborg 08 FF
57%
Draw
24%
KFUM Oslo
19%
Match stats
| 22 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 57 | Possession % | 43 |
| 11 | Corners | 1 |
| 7 | Fouls | 9 |
| 4 | Offsides | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 6 |
| 466 | Accurate passes | 340 |
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs KFUM Oslo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sarpsborg 08 FF vs KFUM Oslo
| Probability | Sarpsborg 08 FF | Draw | KFUM Oslo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.0% | 27.9% | 23.0% |
| Market | 60.2% | 22.5% | 17.3% |
| Final | 57.4% | 23.8% | 18.7% |
| Edge | -11.2% | +5.4% | +5.8% |
Why Sarpsborg 08 FF
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 0.99.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
91%
2+ goals
73%
3+ goals
47%
No goals
9%
Sarpsborg 08 FF and KFUM Oslo expected goals
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.55
KFUM Oslo
0.99
Total expected goals: 2.54
Sarpsborg 08 FF and KFUM Oslo attack and defence ratings
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Attack
0.87 -13%
Defence
0.82 -18%
KFUM Oslo
Attack
0.89 -11%
Defence
0.99 -1%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs KFUM Oslo: result vs prediction
Sarpsborg 08 FF 1 – 3 KFUM Oslo
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 22 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs KFUM Oslo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 57.4% | 1.74 | -11.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.3% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 57.4% |
| Draw | 23.8% | |
| KFUM Oslo | 18.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.8% |
| No | 49.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sarpsborg 08 FF win | 25.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.1% | |
| Loss | 51.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 1-0 | 11.0% | |
| 2-0 | 9.4% |
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs KFUM Oslo stats
Sarpsborg 08 FF and KFUM Oslo recent form
| Sarpsborg 08 FF |
DDDWLL |
| KFUM Oslo |
WLLWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sarpsborg 08 FF and KFUM Oslo going into this match
Sarpsborg 08 FF record
- They have won 6 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 20 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 20 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
KFUM Oslo record
- They have won 6 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 20 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 20 matches.
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs KFUM Oslo head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
4Sarpsborg 08 FF wins
1Draws
2KFUM Oslo wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | KFUM Oslo | Sarpsborg 08 FF | Eliteserien | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | KFUM Oslo | Eliteserien | 2-1 |
| 2025-04-21 | KFUM Oslo | Sarpsborg 08 FF | Eliteserien | 1-3 |
| 2025-02-23 | KFUM Oslo | Sarpsborg 08 FF | Friendlies Clubs | 1-1 |
| 2024-11-03 | KFUM Oslo | Sarpsborg 08 FF | Eliteserien | 1-2 |
| 2024-04-21 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | KFUM Oslo | Eliteserien | 0-2 |
| 2022-03-06 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | KFUM Oslo | Friendlies Clubs | 5-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs KFUM Oslo odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 60.2%, draw 22.5%, away 17.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.59 | 4.26 | 5.44 |
| Bet365 | 1.55 | 4.20 | 5.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 4.10 | 5.25 |
| Betano | 1.57 | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| Betfair | 1.55 | 4.20 | 5.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.55 | 4.15 | 5.30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.60 | 4.26 | 5.71 |
| SBO | 1.54 | 4.01 | 4.84 |
| William Hill | 1.55 | 3.90 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.55 ▼ -0.11
X
4.15 ▼ -0.17
2
5.40 ▲ +0.67
14 snapshots recorded, from .