Eliteserien · Full time ·Matchday 22

Sandefjord vs Start

3 – 0 Full time

44′Ervin Gigovic
45′Ousmane Diallo Toure
45′Nikolaos KoutsakosJesper Cornelius
55′Evangelos Patoulidis
56′Ousmane Diallo Toure
62′Hakon LorentzenDeni Dashaev
64′Ervin Gigovic
65′Evangelos PatoulidisMathias Sauer
65′Ervin GigovicEdvard Sundbö Pettersen
65′Gustav HøjbjergMartin Hellan
72′Edvard Sundbö Pettersen
75′Steve MvoueEirik Schulze
80′Mathias Sauer
83′Xander LambrixHakon Krogelien
84′Altin UjkaniMathias Monan Dovland
84′Erlend Dahl ReitanFredrik Palerud
89′Oscar Forsmo KapskarmoSebastian Holm Mathisen
90′Eirik Schulze

Sandefjord Arena, SandefjordReferee: Espen Eskas

Sandefjord 51%
Draw 24%
Start 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

19 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 0
58 Possession % 42
5 Corners 4
10 Fouls 11
0 Offsides 2
0 Saves 3
531 Accurate passes 362

Sandefjord vs Start overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sandefjord vs Start

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySandefjordDrawStart
Model64.8%19.2%16.0%
Market46.6%25.9%27.4%
Final51.2%24.2%24.6%
Edge+18.2%-6.7%-11.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Sandefjord

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.50 vs 1.21.
  • The market prices Sandefjord below the model: +18.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sandefjord ↓ / Start → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 5% 8% 2 8% 9% 6% 3 6% 8% 5% 4+ 7% 9% 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 89%
3+ goals 72%
No goals 3%

Sandefjord and Start expected goals

Sandefjord 2.50
Start 1.21

Total expected goals: 3.71

Sandefjord and Start attack and defence ratings

Sandefjord

Attack 1.33 +33%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Start

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.05 +5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sandefjord vs Start: result vs prediction

Sandefjord 3 – 0 Start

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 22 fixtures

Eliteserien

Before and after this match

Sandefjord vs Start markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sandefjord 51.2% 1.95 +18.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 71.5% 1.40 — —
Both teams to score Yes 65.0% 1.54 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.8% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Sandefjord win 44.1% 2.27 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sandefjord51.2%
Draw24.2%
Start24.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.571.5%
Under 2.528.5%
Both teams to scoreYes65.0%
No35.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.4%
12 (either side)75.8%
X2 (draw or away)48.8%
Handicap -1Sandefjord win44.1%
Push (exactly one goal)20.7%
Loss35.2%
Correct score (top 3)2-19.3%
1-18.2%
3-17.7%

Sandefjord vs Start stats

Sandefjord and Start recent form

newest first
Sandefjord LDDWWL
Start WWLWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Sandefjord and Start going into this match

league record before kick-off

Sandefjord record

  • They have won 5 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 20 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 20 matches.

Start record

  • They have won 4 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 20 matches.
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sandefjord vs Start head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

4Sandefjord wins 4Draws 1Start wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-08SandefjordStartFriendlies Clubs3-2
2023-03-05StartSandefjordFriendlies Clubs1-0
2021-05-02StartSandefjordFriendlies Clubs1-1
2020-10-24StartSandefjordEliteserien0-1
2020-06-21SandefjordStartEliteserien2-2
2019-08-09SandefjordStart1. Division0-0
2019-04-27StartSandefjord1. Division2-2
2018-11-04SandefjordStartEliteserien4-1
2018-04-02StartSandefjordEliteserien1-4

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Sandefjord vs Start odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 46.6%, draw 25.9%, away 27.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.03 3.63 3.57
Bet365 2.00 3.60 3.50
BetVictor 1.95 3.60 3.30
Betano 2.02 3.50 3.40
Betfair 2.00 3.70 3.25
Marathonbet 1.98 3.54 3.48
Pinnacle 2.02 3.81 3.63
SBO 1.98 3.35 3.07
William Hill 2.00 3.40 3.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.00 ▲ +0.04
X 3.60 ▼ -0.26
2 3.40 ▼ -0.20

13 snapshots recorded, from .