Valerenga
vs
Fredrikstad
1 – 1 Full time
| 45′ | Odin Thiago HolmMagnus Westergaard | ||
| 52′ | Solomon Owusu | ||
| 55′ | Håvard NielsenPetter Strand | ||
| 55′ | Kolbeinn Birgir FinnssonDennis Gjengaar | ||
| 61′ | Bryan FiabemaLiam West | ||
| 69′ | Solomon OwusuUlrik Tillung Fredriksen | ||
| 73′ | Ghayas ZahidGabriel Rajkovic | ||
| 76′ | Sebastian Jarl | ||
| 82′ | Isak Helstad Amundsen | ||
| 84′ | Benjamin Thoresen FaraasFanuel Ghebreyohannes | ||
| 84′ | Lucas Janus Ravn-HarenElbasan Rashani | ||
| 88′ | Fanuel Ghebreyohannes |
Match stats
| 16 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 48 | Possession % | 52 |
| 9 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 12 |
| 5 | Offsides | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 2 |
| 400 | Accurate passes | 451 |
Valerenga vs Fredrikstad overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Valerenga vs Fredrikstad
| Probability | Valerenga | Draw | Fredrikstad |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.0% | 22.4% | 37.6% |
| Market | 46.6% | 25.1% | 28.3% |
| Final | 45.0% | 24.4% | 30.6% |
| Edge | -6.7% | -2.6% | +9.3% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Valerenga and Fredrikstad expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.92
Valerenga and Fredrikstad attack and defence ratings
Valerenga
Fredrikstad
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Valerenga vs Fredrikstad: result vs prediction
Valerenga 1 – 1 Fredrikstad
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 22 fixtures
Before and after this match
Valerenga vs Fredrikstad markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Valerenga | 45.0% | 2.22 | -6.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Valerenga | 45.0% |
| Draw | 24.4% | |
| Fredrikstad | 30.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 25.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.6% |
| No | 25.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Valerenga win | 22.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.5% | |
| Loss | 60.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.4% |
| 2-1 | 7.6% | |
| 1-2 | 7.3% |
Valerenga vs Fredrikstad stats
Valerenga and Fredrikstad recent form
| Valerenga |
WLDLWD |
| Fredrikstad |
WDLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Valerenga and Fredrikstad going into this match
Valerenga record
- They have won 6 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 20 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Fredrikstad record
- They have won 8 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 20 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 20 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Valerenga vs Fredrikstad head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Valerenga | Fredrikstad | Friendlies Clubs | 3-1 |
| 2026-04-12 | Fredrikstad | Valerenga | Eliteserien | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-23 | Valerenga | Fredrikstad | NM Cupen | 1-2 |
| 2025-07-05 | Valerenga | Fredrikstad | Eliteserien | 1-1 |
| 2025-04-09 | Fredrikstad | Valerenga | Eliteserien | 2-0 |
| 2024-10-06 | Valerenga | Fredrikstad | NM Cupen | 0-0 |
| 2024-02-16 | Valerenga | Fredrikstad | Friendlies Clubs | 1-3 |
| 2023-03-10 | Valerenga | Fredrikstad | Friendlies Clubs | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Valerenga vs Fredrikstad odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.6%, draw 25.1%, away 28.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.00 | 3.82 | 3.49 |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.75 | 3.30 |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.70 | 3.20 |
| Betano | 2.02 | 3.70 | 3.30 |
| Betfair | 1.90 | 4.00 | 3.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.95 | 3.72 | 3.40 |
| Pinnacle | 2.02 | 4.02 | 3.44 |
| SBO | 2.01 | 3.49 | 3.08 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.70 | 3.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .