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NM Cupen · Full time ·Round of 64

Stjørdals-Blink vs Fredrikstad

0 – 1 Full time

83′J. Nunez
Stjørdals-Blink 14%
Draw 21%
Fredrikstad 65%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Stjørdals-Blink vs Fredrikstad overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Stjørdals-Blink vs Fredrikstad

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityStjørdals-BlinkDrawFredrikstad
Model13.7%20.9%65.4%
Market———
Final13.7%20.9%65.4%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Fredrikstad

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.19 vs 0.93.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Stjørdals-Blin ↓ / Fredrikstad → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 9% 11% 8% 7% 1 10% 10% 7% 7% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 60%
No goals 5%

Stjørdals-Blink and Fredrikstad expected goals

Stjørdals-Blink 0.93
Fredrikstad 2.19

Total expected goals: 3.12

Stjørdals-Blink and Fredrikstad attack and defence ratings

Stjørdals-Blink

Attack 0.99 -1%
Defence 0.82 -18%

Fredrikstad

Attack 0.80 -20%
Defence 0.63 -37%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Stjørdals-Blink vs Fredrikstad: result vs prediction

Stjørdals-Blink 0 – 1 Fredrikstad

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round of 64 fixtures

NM Cupen

Before and after this match

Stjørdals-Blink vs Fredrikstad markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Fredrikstad 65.4% 1.53 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 60.2% 1.66 — —
Both teams to score Yes 54.4% 1.84 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 86.3% 1.16 — —
Handicap -1 Fredrikstad win 42.6% 2.35 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Stjørdals-Blink13.7%
Draw20.9%
Fredrikstad65.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.560.2%
Under 2.539.8%
Both teams to scoreYes54.4%
No45.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)34.6%
12 (either side)79.1%
X2 (draw or away)86.3%
Handicap -1Fredrikstad win42.6%
Push (exactly one goal)22.6%
Loss34.8%
Correct score (top 3)0-210.7%
1-19.9%
1-29.8%

Stjørdals-Blink vs Fredrikstad stats

Stjørdals-Blink and Fredrikstad recent form

newest first
Stjørdals-Blink WLW
Fredrikstad DLWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.

Stjørdals-Blink vs Fredrikstad head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

1Stjørdals-Blink wins 1Draws 4Fredrikstad wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2022-10-17Stjørdals-BlinkFredrikstad1. Division1-2
2022-04-04FredrikstadStjørdals-Blink1. Division2-2
2021-09-29Stjørdals-BlinkFredrikstad1. Division3-0
2021-08-23FredrikstadStjørdals-Blink1. Division5-1
2019-10-13Stjørdals-BlinkFredrikstad2. Division - Group 12-3
2019-05-16FredrikstadStjørdals-Blink2. Division - Group 11-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Stjørdals-Blink vs Fredrikstad odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.