NM Cupen
·
Full time
·Round 1
Melhus
vs
Stjørdals-Blink
0 – 3 Full time
Melhus
24%
Draw
20%
Stjørdals-Blink
56%
Melhus vs Stjørdals-Blink overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Melhus vs Stjørdals-Blink
| Probability | Melhus | Draw | Stjørdals-Blink |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23.9% | 20.1% | 55.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 23.9% | 20.1% | 55.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Stjørdals-Blink
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.65 vs 1.59.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
98%
2+ goals
93%
3+ goals
79%
No goals
2%
Melhus and Stjørdals-Blink expected goals
Melhus
1.59
Stjørdals-Blink
2.65
Total expected goals: 4.24
Melhus and Stjørdals-Blink attack and defence ratings
Melhus
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Stjørdals-Blink
Attack
0.97 -3%
Defence
0.98 -2%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Melhus vs Stjørdals-Blink: result vs prediction
Melhus 0 – 3 Stjørdals-Blink
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Round 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Melhus vs Stjørdals-Blink markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stjørdals-Blink | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 79.9% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 40.4% | 2.47 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Melhus | 23.9% |
| Draw | 20.1% | |
| Stjørdals-Blink | 55.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 22.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.4% |
| No | 25.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 44.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 76.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Stjørdals-Blink win | 40.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.4% | |
| Loss | 40.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 8.2% |
| 1-1 | 7.3% | |
| 1-3 | 6.8% |
Melhus vs Stjørdals-Blink stats
Melhus and Stjørdals-Blink recent form
| Melhus |
no matches on record |
| Stjørdals-Blink |
LW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.