NM Cupen
·
Full time
·Round 1
Nordstrand
vs
Skeid
1 – 4 Full time
Nordstrand
37%
Draw
22%
Skeid
41%
Nordstrand vs Skeid overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Nordstrand vs Skeid
| Probability | Nordstrand | Draw | Skeid |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.7% | 22.4% | 41.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 36.7% | 22.4% | 41.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Skeid
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
97%
2+ goals
91%
3+ goals
75%
No goals
3%
Nordstrand and Skeid expected goals
Nordstrand
1.91
Skeid
2.02
Total expected goals: 3.93
Nordstrand and Skeid attack and defence ratings
Nordstrand
Attack
0.91 -9%
Defence
1.07 +7%
Skeid
Attack
0.74 -26%
Defence
1.27 +27%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Nordstrand vs Skeid: result vs prediction
Nordstrand 1 – 4 Skeid
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Nordstrand vs Skeid markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Skeid | 41.0% | 2.44 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.0% | 1.69 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nordstrand | 36.7% |
| Draw | 22.4% | |
| Skeid | 41.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 24.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.7% |
| No | 25.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 59.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Skeid win | 23.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.7% | |
| Loss | 59.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.3% |
| 1-2 | 7.6% | |
| 2-2 | 7.3% |
Nordstrand vs Skeid stats
Nordstrand and Skeid recent form
| Nordstrand |
L |
| Skeid |
WLLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.