Skeid
vs
Valerenga
1 – 4 Full time
| 13′ | P. Strand | ||
| 49′ | I. Nasberg | ||
| 54′ | G. Rajkovic | ||
| 77′ | L. Haren | ||
| 86′ | K. Odemarksbakken |
Skeid vs Valerenga overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Skeid vs Valerenga
| Probability | Skeid | Draw | Valerenga |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 7.5% | 10.9% | 81.6% |
| Market | 14.7% | 15.7% | 69.6% |
| Final | 12.9% | 14.5% | 72.6% |
| Edge | -7.2% | -4.8% | +12.0% |
Why Valerenga
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.70 vs 1.21.
- The market prices Valerenga below the model: +12.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Skeid and Valerenga expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.90
Skeid and Valerenga attack and defence ratings
Skeid
Valerenga
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Skeid vs Valerenga: result vs prediction
Skeid 1 – 4 Valerenga
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 64 fixtures
Before and after this match
Skeid vs Valerenga markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Valerenga | 72.6% | 1.38 | +12.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 86.7% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.7% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 87.1% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Valerenga win | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Skeid | 12.9% |
| Draw | 14.5% | |
| Valerenga | 72.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 86.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 13.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.7% |
| No | 31.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 27.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 85.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 87.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Valerenga win | 66.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.2% | |
| Loss | 18.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-3 | 7.6% |
| 1-4 | 7.0% | |
| 0-3 | 6.3% |
Skeid vs Valerenga stats
Skeid vs Valerenga head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-08 | Valerenga | Skeid | Friendlies Clubs | 5-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Skeid vs Valerenga odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 14.7%, draw 15.7%, away 69.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 6.20 | 5.80 | 1.34 |
| Bet365 | 6.00 | 6.00 | 1.28 |
| BetVictor | 7.50 | 6.00 | 1.29 |
| Betano | 6.40 | 5.70 | 1.32 |
| Betfair | 7.50 | 6.00 | 1.22 |
| Marathonbet | 6.15 | 5.80 | 1.33 |
| Pinnacle | 5.96 | 5.60 | 1.27 |
| William Hill | 6.00 | 5.00 | 1.33 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .