Garuda Lions
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NM Cupen · Full time ·Round 1

Frøya vs Sotra

0 – 6 Full time

Froeya storhall, Sistranda

Frøya 24%
Draw 21%
Sotra 55%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Frøya vs Sotra overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Frøya vs Sotra

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFrøyaDrawSotra
Model23.7%21.2%55.1%
Market———
Final23.7%21.2%55.1%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Sotra

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.32 vs 1.51.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Frøya ↓ / Sotra → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 5% 5% 1 8% 9% 7% 7% 2 6% 7% 5% 5% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 90%
3+ goals 74%
No goals 3%

Frøya and Sotra expected goals

Frøya 1.51
Sotra 2.32

Total expected goals: 3.83

Frøya and Sotra attack and defence ratings

Frøya

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Sotra

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 0.91 -9%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Frøya vs Sotra: result vs prediction

Frøya 0 – 6 Sotra

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round 1 fixtures

NM Cupen

Before and after this match

Frøya vs Sotra markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sotra 55.1% 1.82 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 73.5% 1.36 — —
Both teams to score Yes 71.0% 1.41 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 78.8% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 44.9% 2.23 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Frøya23.7%
Draw21.2%
Sotra55.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.573.5%
Under 2.526.5%
Both teams to scoreYes71.0%
No29.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)44.9%
12 (either side)78.8%
X2 (draw or away)76.3%
Handicap -1Sotra win35.0%
Push (exactly one goal)20.1%
Loss44.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-28.8%
1-18.4%
1-36.8%

Frøya vs Sotra stats

Frøya and Sotra recent form

newest first
Frøya no matches on record
Sotra D

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.

Frøya vs Sotra head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Frøya vs Sotra odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.