NM Cupen
·
Full time
·Round of 64
Sotra
vs
Sogndal
1 – 1 Full time
| 8′ | L. Gausdal | ||
| 50′ | T. Haland | ||
| 120′ | E. Hovland | ||
| 120′ | L. Kilen | ||
| 120′ | L. Vapne | ||
| 120′ | I. Hjorteseth | ||
| 120′ | F. Flo | ||
| 120′ | K. Ree | ||
| 120′ | O. Helen | ||
| 120′ | T. Pippola |
Sotra
24%
Draw
22%
Sogndal
55%
Sotra vs Sogndal overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sotra vs Sogndal
| Probability | Sotra | Draw | Sogndal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23.9% | 21.6% | 54.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 23.9% | 21.6% | 54.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Sogndal
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.26 vs 1.48.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
97%
2+ goals
90%
3+ goals
72%
No goals
3%
Sotra and Sogndal expected goals
Sotra
1.48
Sogndal
2.26
Total expected goals: 3.75
Sotra and Sogndal attack and defence ratings
Sotra
Attack
1.14 +14%
Defence
0.77 -23%
Sogndal
Attack
0.88 -12%
Defence
0.86 -14%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sotra vs Sogndal: result vs prediction
Sotra 1 – 1 Sogndal
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 64 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sotra vs Sogndal markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sogndal | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.2% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.0% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 78.4% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sotra | 23.9% |
| Draw | 21.6% | |
| Sogndal | 54.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 27.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.0% |
| No | 30.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 45.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 76.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sogndal win | 34.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.2% | |
| Loss | 45.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 9.0% |
| 1-1 | 8.7% | |
| 1-3 | 6.8% |