Stabaek
vs
Sogndal
2 – 1 Full time
| 26′ | J. Hanstad | ||
| 49′ | K. Skaanes | ||
| 54′ | F. RiiseA. Aamodt | ||
| 70′ | F. KrogstadD. Santos | ||
| 83′ | J. Hanstad | ||
| 85′ | A. HovenE. Lereng | ||
| 86′ | O. Solnordal | ||
| 90′ | L. GausdalE. Flo | ||
| 90′ | E. L. HillestadF. Flo | ||
| 90′ | M. OrenP. Asp | ||
| 90′ | A. Matic |
Stabaek vs Sogndal overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Stabaek vs Sogndal
| Probability | Stabaek | Draw | Sogndal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.5% | 20.7% | 24.8% |
| Market | 70.6% | 16.2% | 13.2% |
| Final | 66.6% | 17.3% | 16.1% |
| Edge | -16.1% | +4.5% | +11.6% |
Why Stabaek
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.40 vs 1.61.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Stabaek and Sogndal expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.01
Stabaek and Sogndal attack and defence ratings
Stabaek
Sogndal
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Stabaek vs Sogndal: result vs prediction
Stabaek 2 – 1 Sogndal
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 23 fixtures
Before and after this match
Stabaek vs Sogndal markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stabaek | 66.6% | 1.50 | -16.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.9% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.5% | 2.20 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stabaek | 66.6% |
| Draw | 17.3% | |
| Sogndal | 16.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 23.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.4% |
| No | 26.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 33.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Stabaek win | 34.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.6% | |
| Loss | 45.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.4% |
| 1-1 | 7.7% | |
| 2-2 | 6.8% |
Stabaek vs Sogndal stats
Stabaek and Sogndal recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Stabaek and Sogndal going into this match
Stabaek record
- They have won 13 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- They average 3.1 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 7 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sogndal record
- They have won 6 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 22 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Stabaek vs Sogndal head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-20 | Sogndal | Stabaek | Norway 1. Division | 2-2 |
| 2026-03-06 | Stabaek | Sogndal | Friendlies Clubs | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-18 | Stabaek | Sogndal | Norway 1. Division | 1-2 |
| 2025-07-26 | Sogndal | Stabaek | Norway 1. Division | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-08 | Stabaek | Sogndal | Friendlies Clubs | 1-1 |
| 2024-09-28 | Stabaek | Sogndal | 1. Division | 2-0 |
| 2024-06-01 | Sogndal | Stabaek | 1. Division | 2-3 |
| 2022-07-25 | Sogndal | Stabaek | 1. Division | 4-3 |
| 2022-04-11 | Stabaek | Sogndal | 1. Division | 0-0 |
| 2017-11-19 | Stabaek | Sogndal | Eliteserien | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Stabaek vs Sogndal odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 70.6%, draw 16.2%, away 13.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.31 | 5.70 | 7.14 |
| Bet365 | 1.33 | 6.25 | 6.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.30 | 5.75 | 7.50 |
| Betano | 1.35 | 5.60 | 6.20 |
| Betfair | 1.29 | 5.50 | 7.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.30 | 5.70 | 7.10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.34 | 6.05 | 7.24 |
| SBO | 1.31 | 5.22 | 5.80 |
| William Hill | 1.33 | 5.00 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .