Norway 1. Division · Full time ·Matchday 23

Kongsvinger vs hodd

5 – 1 Full time

5′C. Ondo
11′L. Langrekken
17′T. Kallevag
17′V. Fors
22′M. Rawufu
53′L. Langrekken
58′L. Langrekken
59′M. Sande
64′V. Fors
67′C. StreeteA. Roppen
67′M. RawufuJ. Robertsen
74′V. ForsE. Nielsen
74′L. LangrekkenG. Johnson
81′M. GjerstromD. Lysgard
84′A. ChamintaS. Elmi
84′M. SandeV. Lysell
85′A. Roppen
90′M. KaarsboS. Mikkelsen
90′S. HanssenG. Andresen
90′M. ScarcellaF. Gjerde

Gjemselund Stadion, KongsvingerReferee: A. Al Fahad

Kongsvinger 74%
Draw 15%
hodd 11%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Kongsvinger vs hodd overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Kongsvinger vs hodd

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKongsvingerDrawhodd
Model75.0%12.2%12.8%
Market73.1%16.1%10.8%
Final73.6%15.1%11.3%
Edge+1.9%-3.9%+2.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Kongsvinger

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.97 vs 1.83.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Kongsvinger ↓ / hodd → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 2 3 4+ 9% 16% 15% 9%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 99%
2+ goals 98%
3+ goals 93%
No goals 1%

Kongsvinger and hodd expected goals

Kongsvinger 3.97
hodd 1.83

Total expected goals: 5.80

Kongsvinger and hodd attack and defence ratings

Kongsvinger

Attack 2.05 +105%
Defence 1.02 +2%

hodd

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Kongsvinger vs hodd: result vs prediction

Kongsvinger 5 – 1 hodd

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 23 fixtures

Norway 1. Division

Before and after this match

Kongsvinger vs hodd markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Kongsvinger 73.6% 1.36 +1.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 92.8% 1.08 — —
Both teams to score Yes 82.6% 1.21 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 88.7% 1.13 — —
Handicap -1 Kongsvinger win 59.6% 1.68 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Kongsvinger73.6%
Draw15.1%
hodd11.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.592.8%
Under 2.57.2%
Both teams to scoreYes82.6%
No17.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)88.7%
12 (either side)84.9%
X2 (draw or away)26.4%
Handicap -1Kongsvinger win59.6%
Push (exactly one goal)15.4%
Loss25.0%
Correct score (top 3)3-15.8%
4-15.8%
3-25.3%

Kongsvinger vs hodd stats

Kongsvinger and hodd recent form

newest first
Kongsvinger WDWDWW
hodd WLDWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Kongsvinger and hodd going into this match

league record before kick-off

Kongsvinger record

  • They have won 14 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 2.9 goals per match.
  • They average 3.6 goals per game at home against 2.1 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).

hodd record

  • They have won 10 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 22 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
  • 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Kongsvinger vs hodd head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

5Kongsvinger wins 1Draws 2hodd wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-14hoddKongsvingerNorway 1. Division1-2
2025-10-22KongsvingerhoddNorway 1. Division3-0
2025-04-05hoddKongsvingerNorway 1. Division0-2
2023-09-02hoddKongsvinger1. Division2-1
2023-04-30Kongsvingerhodd1. Division0-3
2021-09-12hoddKongsvinger2. Division - Group 10-0
2021-08-04Kongsvingerhodd2. Division - Group 11-0
2016-08-07Kongsvingerhodd1. Division2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Kongsvinger vs hodd odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 73.1%, draw 16.1%, away 10.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.27 5.55 8.90
Bet365 1.27 5.75 8.50
BetVictor 1.22 6.50 9.00
Betano 1.27 5.80 8.25
Betfair 1.20 6.00 8.50
Marathonbet 1.26 5.55 8.90
Pinnacle 1.28 5.73 9.61
SBO 1.24 5.70 6.95
William Hill 1.25 5.00 8.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.26 ▲ +0.01
X 5.73 ▲ +0.09
2 8.50 —

9 snapshots recorded, from .