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NM Cupen · Full time ·Round of 64

Pors Grenland vs Stabaek

2 – 1 Full time

86′A. Lie
90′S. Ostby
93′O. Johnsen
Pors Grenland 9%
Draw 14%
Stabaek 77%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Pors Grenland vs Stabaek overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Pors Grenland vs Stabaek

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPors GrenlandDrawStabaek
Model8.9%14.4%76.6%
Market———
Final8.9%14.4%76.6%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Stabaek

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.95 vs 0.99.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Pors Grenland ↓ / Stabaek → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 8% 13% 1 8% 8% 13% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 91%
3+ goals 75%
No goals 3%

Pors Grenland and Stabaek expected goals

Pors Grenland 0.99
Stabaek 2.95

Total expected goals: 3.94

Pors Grenland and Stabaek attack and defence ratings

Pors Grenland

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Stabaek

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 0.69 -31%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Pors Grenland vs Stabaek: result vs prediction

Pors Grenland 2 – 1 Stabaek

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 64 fixtures

NM Cupen

Before and after this match

Pors Grenland vs Stabaek markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Stabaek 76.6% 1.30 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 75.4% 1.33 — —
Both teams to score Yes 60.0% 1.67 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 91.1% 1.10 — —
Handicap -1 Stabaek win 57.7% 1.73 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Pors Grenland8.9%
Draw14.4%
Stabaek76.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.575.4%
Under 2.524.6%
Both teams to scoreYes60.0%
No40.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)23.4%
12 (either side)85.6%
X2 (draw or away)91.1%
Handicap -1Stabaek win57.7%
Push (exactly one goal)18.8%
Loss23.5%
Correct score (top 3)0-28.5%
1-28.4%
0-38.4%

Pors Grenland vs Stabaek stats

Pors Grenland and Stabaek recent form

newest first
Pors Grenland WL
Stabaek LLLWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.

Pors Grenland vs Stabaek head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Pors Grenland vs Stabaek odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.