Haugesund
vs
Stabaek
2 – 0 Full time
| 9′ | N. Naess | ||
| 23′ | D. Santos | ||
| 39′ | S. Nilsen | ||
| 63′ | A. HovenG. Rapp | ||
| 66′ | V. Solheim | ||
| 73′ | D. SantosM. Dahlby | ||
| 73′ | J. HanstadG. Vetti | ||
| 73′ | G. Vetti | ||
| 74′ | N. Sandberg | ||
| 76′ | E. AndersenE. Rohd | ||
| 82′ | B. LeiteP. Hannola | ||
| 86′ | F. RiiseO. Veum | ||
| 90′ | L. RemmemR. Schifferl | ||
| 90′ | N. SandbergA. Grindhaug | ||
| 90′ | E. Rohd |
Haugesund vs Stabaek overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Haugesund vs Stabaek
| Probability | Haugesund | Draw | Stabaek |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60.9% | 18.3% | 20.8% |
| Market | 50.7% | 22.1% | 27.3% |
| Final | 53.2% | 21.1% | 25.7% |
| Edge | +10.2% | -3.8% | -6.4% |
Why Haugesund
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.78 vs 1.65.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Haugesund below the model: +10.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Haugesund and Stabaek expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.44
Haugesund and Stabaek attack and defence ratings
Haugesund
Stabaek
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Haugesund vs Stabaek: result vs prediction
Haugesund 2 – 0 Stabaek
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 24 fixtures
Before and after this match
Haugesund vs Stabaek markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Haugesund | 53.2% | 1.88 | +10.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 82.0% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Haugesund win | 41.9% | 2.39 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Haugesund | 53.2% |
| Draw | 21.1% | |
| Stabaek | 25.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 82.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 18.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76.5% |
| No | 23.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Haugesund win | 41.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.0% | |
| Loss | 39.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 7.6% |
| 3-1 | 7.0% | |
| 2-2 | 6.3% |
Haugesund vs Stabaek stats
Haugesund and Stabaek recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Haugesund and Stabaek going into this match
Haugesund record
- They have won 17 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 3.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
Stabaek record
- They have won 14 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 7 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Haugesund vs Stabaek head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Stabaek | Haugesund | Norway 1. Division | 3-2 |
| 2025-05-07 | Stabaek | Haugesund | NM Cupen | 2-1 |
| 2023-12-03 | Haugesund | Stabaek | Eliteserien | 3-0 |
| 2023-04-23 | Stabaek | Haugesund | Eliteserien | 3-0 |
| 2021-10-31 | Stabaek | Haugesund | Eliteserien | 2-1 |
| 2021-05-24 | Haugesund | Stabaek | Eliteserien | 0-0 |
| 2020-09-12 | Stabaek | Haugesund | Eliteserien | 2-1 |
| 2020-08-02 | Haugesund | Stabaek | Eliteserien | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Haugesund vs Stabaek odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 50.7%, draw 22.1%, away 27.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.84 | 4.80 | 3.38 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 1.83 | 4.33 | 3.40 |
| Betano | 1.85 | 4.10 | 3.40 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 4.20 | 3.25 |
| Marathonbet | 1.81 | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.85 | 4.51 | 3.46 |
| SBO | 1.82 | 3.74 | 3.00 |
| William Hill | 1.80 | 4.00 | 3.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
15 snapshots recorded, from .