NM Cupen
·
Full time
·Round 1
Spjelkavik
vs
hodd
1 – 2 Full time
Spjelkavik
18%
Draw
16%
hodd
66%
Spjelkavik vs hodd overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Spjelkavik vs hodd
| Probability | Spjelkavik | Draw | hodd |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 17.8% | 16.2% | 65.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 17.8% | 16.2% | 65.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why hodd
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.13 vs 1.69.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
99%
2+ goals
96%
3+ goals
86%
No goals
1%
Spjelkavik and hodd expected goals
Spjelkavik
1.69
hodd
3.13
Total expected goals: 4.83
Spjelkavik and hodd attack and defence ratings
Spjelkavik
Attack
0.99 -1%
Defence
1.15 +15%
hodd
Attack
1.07 +7%
Defence
1.03 +3%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Spjelkavik vs hodd: result vs prediction
Spjelkavik 1 – 2 hodd
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Spjelkavik vs hodd markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | hodd | 65.9% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 86.0% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 78.5% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 83.8% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | hodd win | 47.8% | 2.09 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Spjelkavik | 17.8% |
| Draw | 16.2% | |
| hodd | 65.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 86.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 14.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 78.5% |
| No | 21.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 34.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 83.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 82.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | hodd win | 47.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.1% | |
| Loss | 34.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-3 | 7.0% |
| 1-2 | 6.7% | |
| 2-3 | 5.9% |
Spjelkavik vs hodd stats
Spjelkavik and hodd recent form
| Spjelkavik |
L |
| hodd |
WWWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.