Stromsgodset
vs
hodd
3 – 1 Full time
Stromsgodset vs hodd overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Stromsgodset vs hodd
| Probability | Stromsgodset | Draw | hodd |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 69.2% | 15.2% | 15.6% |
| Market | 77.0% | 14.2% | 8.8% |
| Final | 75.0% | 14.5% | 10.5% |
| Edge | -7.9% | +1.0% | +6.9% |
Why Stromsgodset
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.28 vs 1.63.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Stromsgodset and hodd expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.91
Stromsgodset and hodd attack and defence ratings
Stromsgodset
hodd
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Stromsgodset vs hodd: result vs prediction
Stromsgodset 3 – 1 hodd
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 19 fixtures
Before and after this match
Stromsgodset vs hodd markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stromsgodset | 75.0% | 1.33 | -7.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 86.8% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 77.8% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.5% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Stromsgodset win | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stromsgodset | 75.0% |
| Draw | 14.5% | |
| hodd | 10.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 86.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 13.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 77.8% |
| No | 22.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 85.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 25.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Stromsgodset win | 51.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.7% | |
| Loss | 30.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 3-1 | 7.1% |
| 2-1 | 6.5% | |
| 4-1 | 5.8% |
Stromsgodset vs hodd stats
Stromsgodset and hodd recent form
| Stromsgodset |
WWLWDL |
| hodd |
WWWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Stromsgodset and hodd going into this match
Stromsgodset record
- They have won 12 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 20 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
hodd record
- They have won 10 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 20 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Stromsgodset vs hodd head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | hodd | Stromsgodset | Norway 1. Division | 4-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Stromsgodset vs hodd odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 76.8%, draw 14.5%, away 8.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.18 | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.19 | 6.95 | 11.30 |
| 888Sport | 1.25 | 5.75 | 8.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.20 | 6.25 | 12.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.18 | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| Betano | 1.22 | 5.90 | 9.25 |
| Betfair | 1.15 | 6.50 | 10.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.21 | 6.60 | 11.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.18 | 6.95 | 11.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.21 | 7.25 | 10.53 |
| SBO | 1.19 | 5.99 | 8.68 |
| Superbet | 1.20 | 6.50 | 9.40 |
| Unibet | 1.24 | 5.75 | 8.50 |
| William Hill | 1.20 | 6.00 | 10.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .