Stabaek
vs
Ranheim
4 – 2 Full time
Stabaek vs Ranheim overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Stabaek vs Ranheim
| Probability | Stabaek | Draw | Ranheim |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 79.0% | 11.6% | 9.3% |
| Market | 69.3% | 15.9% | 14.8% |
| Final | 71.8% | 14.8% | 13.4% |
| Edge | +9.7% | -4.3% | -5.4% |
Why Stabaek
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.72 vs 1.39.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Stabaek below the model: +9.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Stabaek and Ranheim expected goals
Total expected goals: 5.11
Stabaek and Ranheim attack and defence ratings
Stabaek
Ranheim
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Stabaek vs Ranheim: result vs prediction
Stabaek 4 – 2 Ranheim
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 19 fixtures
Before and after this match
Stabaek vs Ranheim markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stabaek | 71.8% | 1.39 | +9.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 88.4% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.6% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Stabaek win | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stabaek | 71.8% |
| Draw | 14.8% | |
| Ranheim | 13.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 88.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 11.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.6% |
| No | 26.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 85.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 28.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Stabaek win | 63.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.6% | |
| Loss | 20.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 3-1 | 7.2% |
| 4-1 | 6.7% | |
| 2-1 | 5.8% |
Stabaek vs Ranheim stats
Stabaek and Ranheim recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Stabaek and Ranheim going into this match
Stabaek record
- They have won 13 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 2.2 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 20 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 7 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ranheim record
- They have won 7 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.9 goals per game at home against 1.9 on the road.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Stabaek vs Ranheim head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | Ranheim | Stabaek | Norway 1. Division | 2-5 |
| 2026-02-22 | Stabaek | Ranheim | Friendlies Clubs | 5-2 |
| 2025-08-23 | Ranheim | Stabaek | Norway 1. Division | 1-1 |
| 2025-06-28 | Stabaek | Ranheim | Norway 1. Division | 1-2 |
| 2024-08-10 | Stabaek | Ranheim | 1. Division | 3-0 |
| 2024-05-22 | Ranheim | Stabaek | 1. Division | 3-0 |
| 2022-10-16 | Stabaek | Ranheim | 1. Division | 3-2 |
| 2022-05-09 | Ranheim | Stabaek | 1. Division | 0-1 |
| 2019-11-03 | Ranheim | Stabaek | Eliteserien | 0-2 |
| 2019-06-30 | Stabaek | Ranheim | Eliteserien | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Stabaek vs Ranheim odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 69.3%, draw 15.9%, away 14.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.33 | 5.40 | 5.80 |
| 1xBet | 1.33 | 5.80 | 6.70 |
| 888Sport | 1.44 | 4.75 | 5.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.30 | 6.50 | 6.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.30 | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| Betano | 1.36 | 5.60 | 6.00 |
| Betfair | 1.29 | 6.00 | 6.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.34 | 6.00 | 6.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.32 | 5.80 | 6.70 |
| Pinnacle | 1.34 | 6.15 | 6.92 |
| SBO | 1.32 | 5.32 | 5.70 |
| Superbet | 1.32 | 5.80 | 6.20 |
| Unibet | 1.38 | 5.00 | 5.75 |
| William Hill | 1.33 | 5.00 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .